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The Market test

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4615041
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s001820300153openalex-extracted
The reproducible properties of correct forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-020-01270-4openalex-extracted
Price probabilities: a class of Bayesian and non-Bayesian prediction rules
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(74)90019-1openalex-extracted
An aggregation theorem for securities markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-444-53766-9.00018-5openalex-extracted
Calibration and Expert Testing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2011.06.015openalex-extracted
Nonmanipulable Bayesian testing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139060011.014openalex-extracted
Calibration: Respice, Adspice, Prospice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/85.2.379openalex-extracted
Asymptotic calibration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00419openalex-extracted
Empirical Limits for Time Series Econometric Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2006.00691.xopenalex-extracted
If You're so Smart, why Aren't You Rich? Belief Selection in Complete and Incomplete Markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2008.00846.xopenalex-extracted
Comparative Testing of Experts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-statistics-062713-085831openalex-extracted
Probabilistic Forecasting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1201/9781420059847openalex-extracted
Polya Urn Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176344136openalex-extracted
Estimating the Dimension of a Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.1080.0347openalex-extracted
Strategic Manipulation of Empirical Tests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2813117openalex-extracted
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2140/pjm.1951.1.133openalex-extracted
The asymptotic expansion of a ratio of gamma functions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3982/te2456openalex-extracted
Market Selection in Large Economies: A Matter of Luck
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3982/te3767openalex-extracted
Testable forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3982/te3924openalex-extracted
The wisdom of the crowd in dynamic economies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/4643.001.0001openalex-extracted
The Minimum Description Length Principle
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