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At the Crossroad of Research: The Impact of Projection Bias on the Decision to Explore or Exploit Ideas

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4660544
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2012.12.006openalex-extracted
Biased social learning
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2020.10.001openalex-extracted
Never underestimate your opponent: Hindsight bias causes overplacement and overentry into competition
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2022.07.002openalex-extracted
Projection bias in effort choices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s1094-2025(03)00036-xopenalex-extracted
Optimism and overconfidence in search
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108227162.002openalex-extracted
Learning, Experimentation, and Information Design
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.75.2.332openalex-extracted
The illusion of transparency: Biased assessments of others' ability to read one's emotional states.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-2909.86.3.638openalex-extracted
The file drawer problem and tolerance for null results.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/261651openalex-extracted
The Curse of Knowledge in Economic Settings: An Experimental Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdr044openalex-extracted
Information Projection: Model and Applications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2005.00564.xopenalex-extracted
Strategic Experimentation with Exponential Bandits
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003355303322552784openalex-extracted
Projection Bias in Predicting Future Utility
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20150004openalex-extracted
Bargaining under the Illusion of Transparency
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20200988openalex-extracted
Projection of Private Values in Auctions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20221149openalex-extracted
Prolonged Learning and Hasty Stopping: The Wald Problem with Ambiguity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20230814openalex-extracted
Quality Is in the Eye of the Beholder: Taste Projection in Markets with Observational Learning
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.1.103openalex-extracted
Doing It Now or Later
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.00655openalex-extracted
Failures in Forecasting: An Experiment on Interpersonal Projection Bias
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/orsc.2.1.71openalex-extracted
Exploration and Exploitation in Organizational Learning
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4480657openalex-extracted
Projective Thinking: Model, Evidence, and Applications
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