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The Persistence of Consumption and the Leading Indicator Property of the Term Spread

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4682853
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Time nonseparability in aggregate consumption
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1765(92)90280-copenalex-extracted
On the durability of non-durable goods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-1889(94)00813-wopenalex-extracted
The term structure of interest rates in real and monetary economies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(94)90017-5openalex-extracted
International term structures and real economic growth
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(86)90005-xopenalex-extracted
Modeling the term structure of interest rates under non-separable utility and durability of goods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(88)90073-6openalex-extracted
The real term structure and consumption growth
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(91)90002-2openalex-extracted
Habit persistence and durability in aggregate consumption
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2002.11.001openalex-extracted
Financial predictors of real activity and the financial accelerator
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2004.01.003openalex-extracted
The term structure of interest rates in Japan: the predictability of economic activity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2015.03.013openalex-extracted
Real term structure forecasts of consumption growth
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.09.006openalex-extracted
Macroeconomic linkages between monetary policy and the term structure of interest rates
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2017.12.003openalex-extracted
The decline in the predictive power of the US term spread: A structural interpretation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2003.08.007openalex-extracted
The predictive power of the yield curve: a theoretical assessment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0022-1996(97)00010-xopenalex-extracted
Habits and durability in consumption, and the dynamics of the current account
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0261-5606(00)00023-1openalex-extracted
Testing for asymmetry in the link between the yield spread and output in the G-7 countries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/096031098332664openalex-extracted
The Australian yield curve as a leading indicator of consumption growth
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/250059openalex-extracted
By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/261168openalex-extracted
The Rate of Time Preference and Dynamic Economic Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/261693openalex-extracted
Habit Formation: A Resolution of the Equity Premium Puzzle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/654119openalex-extracted
New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2005.01017.xopenalex-extracted
Why Does the Yield Curve Predict Output and Inflation?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1991.tb02674.xopenalex-extracted
The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00848.xopenalex-extracted
A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Expected Stock Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003465303322369777openalex-extracted
How Stable is the Predictive Power of the Yield Curve? Evidence from Germany and the United States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1353/mcb.2002.0040openalex-extracted
A Reexamination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/9780691218052-014openalex-extracted
10 Asset Pricing Implications of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2211092openalex-extracted
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2393234openalex-extracted
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.245584openalex-extracted
A Re-Examination of the Predictability of Economic Activity Using the Yield Spread
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.249965openalex-extracted
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.497822openalex-extracted
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1885676openalex-extracted
The Permanent Income Hypothesis and Consumption Durability: Analysis Based on Japanese Panel Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1913837openalex-extracted
Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2171913openalex-extracted
An Empirical Investigation of Asset Pricing with Temporally Dependent Preference Specifications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2951555openalex-extracted
The Interaction Between Time-Nonseparable Preferences and Time Aggregation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv14163jx.16openalex-extracted
Asset Pricing Implications of Equilibrium Business Cycle Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w4104openalex-extracted
Time Nonseparability in Aggregate Consumption: International Evidence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w4995openalex-extracted
By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1201/9780429081385-244openalex-snapshot
The Yield Spread as a Symmetric Predictor of Output and Inflation
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