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Reproductive Specialization Can Increase Extinction Risk in the Face of Arctic Climate Change – Ringed Seal Breeding Habitat Now and in the Future

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4848334
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Exploring recent trends in Northern Hemisphere blocking
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Winter sea ice melting in the Atlantic Water subduction area, Svalbard Norway
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Toward an ice‐free Barents Sea
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Developing artificial nest boxes for a large aquatic mammal
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Ringed seal demography in a changing climate
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Interrelated ecological impacts of climate change on an apex predator
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Demographic risk assessment for a harvested species threatened by climate change: polar bears in the Chukchi Sea
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Survival and abundance of polar bears in Alaska’s Beaufort Sea, 2001–2016
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Arctic amplification metrics
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The Ringed Seal: Behavioral Adaptations to Seasonal Ice and Snow Cover
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Changes in Sea-Ice Extent and Thickness in Kongsfjorden, Svalbard (2003–2016)
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Avian predation on ringed seal Phoca hispida pups
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Reproductive rates of ringed seals and survival of pups in Northwestern Hudson Bay, Canada, 1991?2000
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Landward and eastward shift of Alaskan polar bear denning associated with recent sea ice changes
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The diet of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) from Svalbard, Norway, inferred from scat analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-017-2122-3openalex-extracted
Interdecadal changes in the marine food web along the west Spitsbergen coast detected in the stable isotope composition of ringed seal (Pusa hispida) whiskers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-018-2277-6openalex-extracted
Decreasing sea ice conditions in western Hudson Bay and an increase in abundance of harbour seals (Phoca vitulina) in the Churchill River
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02684-5openalex-extracted
Ringed seal (Pusa hispida) diet on the west coast of Spitsbergen, Svalbard, Norway: during a time of ecosystem change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-021-02954-wopenalex-extracted
Yes, they can: polar bears Ursus maritimus successfully hunt Svalbard reindeer Rangifer tarandus platyrhynchus
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-022-03016-5openalex-extracted
Shifting polar bear Ursus maritimus denning habitat availability in the European Arctic
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Bowhead whale (Balaena mysticetus) carcasses documented during the 2019 aerial surveys in the eastern Chukchi and western Beaufort seas: a follow-up to evidence of bowhead whale and killer whale (Orcinus orca) co-occurrence during 2009–2018
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Sea level changes mechanisms in the MPI-ESM under FAFMIP forcing conditions
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Influence of spring Arctic sea ice melt on Eurasian surface air temperature
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Relationships among Arctic warming, sea-ice loss, stability, lapse rate feedback, and Arctic amplification
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Spatial and temporal variation of an ice-adapted predator’s feeding ecology in a changing Arctic marine ecosystem
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Evidence of intraspecific prey switching: stage-structured predation of polar bears on ringed seals
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Quantifying Episodic Snowmelt Events in Arctic Ecosystems
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Low-frequency sea level variability and impact of recent sea ice decline on the sea level trend in the Arctic Ocean from a high-resolution simulation
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Impacts of changing sea-ice conditions on Arctic marine mammals
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A review of climate change effects on marine mammals in United States waters: Past predictions, observed impacts, current research and conservation imperatives
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Modeling snowdrift habitat for polar bear dens
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Assessing past and future climatic influences on the availability of polar bear maternal denning habitat on Wrangel Island
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The impact of winds and sea surface temperatures on the Barents Sea ice extent, a statistical approach
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The importance of tidewater glaciers for marine mammals and seabirds in Svalbard, Norway
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The decline of Svalbard land-fast sea ice extent as a result of climate change
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Observations of superimposed ice formation at melt-onset on fast ice on Kongsfjorden, Svalbard
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2015.05.001openalex-extracted
Bowhead whale body condition and links to summer sea ice and upwelling in the Beaufort Sea
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2015.05.011openalex-extracted
A comparison of ringed and bearded seal diet, condition and productivity between historical (1975–1984) and recent (2003–2012) periods in the Alaskan Bering and Chukchi seas
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Consistent ice and open water classification combining historical synthetic aperture radar satellite images from ERS-1/2, Envisat ASAR, RADARSAT-2 and Sentinel-1A/B
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Thin ice, deep snow and surface flooding in Kotzebue Sound: landfast ice mass balance during two anomalously warm winters and implications for marine mammals and subsistence hunting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022143000002021openalex-extracted
A snow-transport model for complex terrain
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0032247400012614openalex-extracted
Evaluating breeding habitat and populations of ringed seals Phoca hispida in Svalbard fjords
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0032247411000647openalex-extracted
Vegetation mapping of Svalbard utilising Landsat TM/ETM+ data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2007gl029948openalex-extracted
Wintertime warming of an Arctic shelf in response to large‐scale atmospheric circulation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010jc006402openalex-extracted
A high-resolution hindcast of wind and waves for the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea, and the Barents Sea
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Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid‐latitudes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019jc015913openalex-extracted
A Lagrangian Snow‐Evolution System for Sea‐Ice Applications (SnowModel‐LG): Part I—Model Description
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The Seasonal and Regional Transition to an Ice‐Free Arctic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020jd034366openalex-extracted
Arctic Cyclones and Their Interactions With the Declining Sea Ice: A Recent Climatology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl097884openalex-extracted
Observed Winds Crucial for September Arctic Sea Ice Loss
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms9566openalex-extracted
Calving rates at tidewater glaciers vary strongly with ocean temperature
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0695-2openalex-extracted
Evidence suggests potential transformation of the Pacific Arctic ecosystem is underway
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-04314-4openalex-extracted
Historical glacier change on Svalbard predicts doubling of mass loss by 2100
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05686-xopenalex-extracted
Regime shift in Arctic Ocean sea ice thickness
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-13568-5openalex-extracted
Exceptional warming over the Barents area
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00498-3openalex-extracted
The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/17518369.2017.1374124openalex-extracted
Novel terrestrial haul-out behaviour by ringed seals (Pusa hispida) in Svalbard, in association with harbour seals (Phoca vitulina)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/114021openalex-extracted
Warmer and wetter winters: characteristics and implications of an extreme weather event in the High Arctic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7a1dopenalex-extracted
Warming in the Nordic Seas, North Atlantic storms and thinning Arctic sea ice
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Arctic sea ice thickness, volume, and multiyear ice coverage: losses and coupled variability (1958–2018)
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Spatiotemporal patterns of rain-on-snow and basal ice in high Arctic Svalbard: detection of a climate-cryosphere regime shift
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Key indicators of Arctic climate change: 1971–2017
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Robust Arctic warming caused by projected Antarctic sea ice loss
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Accelerated decline of summer Arctic sea ice during 1850–2017 and the amplified Arctic warming during the recent decades
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Arctic amplification of climate change: a review of underlying mechanisms
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Predictions replaced by facts: a keystone species' behavioural responses to declining arctic sea-ice
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Contrasting changes in space use induced by climate change in two Arctic marine mammal species
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An Arctic predator–prey system in flux: climate change impacts on coastal space use by polar bears and ringed seals
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Comparing temporal patterns in body condition of ringed seals living within their core geographic range with those living at the edge
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Predicting how climate change threatens the prey base of Arctic marine predators
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Top‐Down and Bottom‐Up Processes Jointly Explain Mesopredator Movement and Foraging Ecology
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Transient benefits of climate change for a high‐Arctic polar bear ( Ursus maritimus ) subpopulation
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Effects of climate warming on polar bears: a review of the evidence
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CLIMATE CHANGE AND RINGED SEAL (PHOCA HISPIDA) RECRUITMENT IN WESTERN HUDSON BAY
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Global threats to pinnipeds
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Climate change and the ecology and evolution of Arctic vertebrates
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Studies of the ringed seal (Phoca hispida Schreber 1775) in its breeding habitat in Kongsfjorden, Svalbard
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1751-8369.1986.tb00520.xopenalex-extracted
Polar bear predation on ringed seals in the fast-ice of Hornsund, Svalbard
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aan8677openalex-extracted
High-energy, high-fat lifestyle challenges an Arctic apex predator, the polar bear
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abk2793openalex-extracted
Glacial ice supports a distinct and undocumented polar bear subpopulation persisting in late 21st-century sea-ice conditions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/er-2022-0101openalex-extracted
Arctic marine ecosystems face increasing climate stress
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/f91-288openalex-extracted
Lactation in the Ringed Seal (Phoca hispida)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/z96-100openalex-extracted
Characteristics of ringed seal,Phoca hispida, subnivean structures and breeding habitat and their effects on predation
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Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100
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A Simple Data Assimilation System for Complex Snow Distributions (SnowAssim)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0427.1openalex-extracted
Seasonal and Regional Manifestation of Arctic Sea Ice Loss
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-21-0070.1openalex-extracted
Revisiting the Global Seasonal Snow Classification: An Updated Dataset for Earth System Applications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm486.1openalex-extracted
A Meteorological Distribution System for High-Resolution Terrestrial Modeling (MicroMet)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm548.1openalex-extracted
A Distributed Snow-Evolution Modeling System (SnowModel)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-15-0058.1openalex-extracted
A Simple Shelf Circulation Model: Intrusion of Atlantic Water on the West Spitsbergen Shelf
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jpo-d-15-0144.1openalex-extracted
Arctic Ocean Heat Impact on Regional Ice Decay: A Suggested Positive Feedback
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Tracking arctic marine mammal resilience in an era of rapid ecosystem alteration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.14430/arctic1113openalex-extracted
Observations and Predictions of Arctic Climatic Change: Potential Effects on Marine Mammals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.14430/arctic1528openalex-extracted
A Review of the Developmental, Behavioural and Physiological Adaptations of the Ringed Seal, Phoca hispida, to Life in the Arctic Winter
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.14430/arctic4236openalex-extracted
Ringed Seals and Sea Ice in Canada’s Western Arctic: Harvest-Based Monitoring 1992–2011
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.14430/arctic483openalex-extracted
Implications of Warm Temperatures and an Unusual Rain Event for the Survival of Ringed Seals on the Coast of Southeastern Baffin Island
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.14430/arctic76302openalex-extracted
Trends in Subsistence Harvests of Ice Seals in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta Region, Alaska, 1962 – 2018
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Climate Change 2021—The Physical Science Basis
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QUANTIFYING THE SENSITIVITY OF ARCTIC MARINE MAMMALS TO CLIMATE-INDUCED HABITAT CHANGE
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ARCTIC MARINE MAMMALS AND CLIMATE CHANGE: IMPACTS AND RESILIENCE
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/07-2089.1openalex-extracted
Predicting 21st‐century polar bear habitat distribution from global climate models
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The role of winter sublimation in the Arctic moisture budget
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/4432openalex-extracted
Maternal Investment and Neonatal Growth in Phocid Seals
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Climate in Svalbard 2100 – a knowledge base for climate adaptation.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3184/003685008x324010openalex-extracted
Climate Change Impacts on Seals and Whales in the North Atlantic Arctic and Adjacent Shelf Seas
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3189/172756406781811367openalex-extracted
Variability of fast-ice thickness in Spitsbergen fjords
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3189/172756407782871215openalex-extracted
Sea-ice mass-balance monitoring in an Arctic fjord
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3189/172756507782202865openalex-extracted
Simulating complex snow distributions in windy environments using SnowTran-3D
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.33265/polar.v39.3447openalex-extracted
Modelling polar bear maternity den habitat in east Svalbard
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.33265/polar.v39.3614openalex-extracted
Revisiting the extended Svalbard Airport monthly temperature series, and the compiled corresponding daily series 1898–2018
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.33265/polar.v40.5326openalex-extracted
Distribution and habitat characteristics of pinnipeds and polar bears in the Svalbard Archipelago, 2005–2018
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.33265/polar.v40.5753openalex-extracted
Variation in body size of ringed seals (Pusa hispida hispida) across the circumpolar Arctic: evidence of morphs, ecotypes or simply extreme plasticity?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps09406openalex-extracted
Sea ice and polar bear den ecology at Hopen Island, Svalbard
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps11598openalex-extracted
Coastal habitat use by ringed seals Pusa hispida following a regional sea-ice collapse: importance of glacial refugia in a changing Arctic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps11950openalex-extracted
Influence of sea ice phenology on the movement ecology of ringed seals across their latitudinal range
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps12000openalex-extracted
Collar temperature sensor data reveal long-term patterns in southern Beaufort Sea polar bear den distribution on pack ice and land
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps14252openalex-extracted
Characteristics of ringed seal Pusa hispida (‘natchiq’) denning habitat in Kotzebue Sound, Alaska, during a year of limited sea ice and snow
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3354/meps187265openalex-extracted
Behaviour and energetics of ice-breeding, North Atlantic phocid seals during the lactation period
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2020.00156openalex-extracted
Reconciling Svalbard Glacier Mass Balance
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.709896openalex-extracted
Local and Remote Atmospheric Circulation Drivers of Arctic Change: A Review
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.758361openalex-extracted
Process Drivers, Inter-Model Spread, and the Path Forward: A Review of Amplified Arctic Warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2015.00033openalex-extracted
Climate change and the increasing impact of polar bears on bird populations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.00243openalex-extracted
Changes in Sea-Ice Protist Diversity With Declining Sea Ice in the Arctic Ocean From the 1980s to 2010s
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.00452openalex-extracted
Sympagic Fauna in and Under Arctic Pack Ice in the Annual Sea-Ice System of the New Arctic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13091434openalex-extracted
Regional Features of the Arctic Sea Ice Area Changes in 2000–2019 versus 1979–1999 Periods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph191811260openalex-extracted
Research on Selected Wildlife Infections in the Circumpolar Arctic—A Bibliometric Review
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens12070937openalex-extracted
A Review of Circumpolar Arctic Marine Mammal Health—A Call to Action in a Time of Rapid Environmental Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13112162openalex-extracted
Delay in Arctic Sea Ice Freeze-Up Linked to Early Summer Sea Ice Loss: Evidence from Satellite Observations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3402/polar.v34.20828openalex-extracted
Modelling snow ice and superimposed ice on landfast sea ice in Kongsfjorden, Svalbard
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.23933openalex-extracted
Loss of sea ice during winter north of Svalbard
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-149-2016openalex-extracted
Sea ice cover in Isfjorden and Hornsund, Svalbard (2000–2014) from remote sensing data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-1445-2023openalex-extracted
Rapid sea ice changes in the future Barents Sea
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.2957openalex-extracted
Demographic, ecological, and physiological responses of ringed seals to an abrupt decline in sea ice availability
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