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Paleoearthquakes Modeling and Effects of Uncertainties on Probability Assessment of Next Fault Ruptures: The Case of Central Italy Surface Faulting Earthquakes

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2014gl059230openalex-extracted
Complete seismic release of tectonic strain and earthquake recurrence in the Apennines (Italy)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2016gl070815openalex-extracted
A new paradigm for large earthquakes in stable continental plate interiors
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/2016jb013606openalex-extracted
Ground‐rupturing earthquakes on the northern Big Bend of the San Andreas Fault, California, 800 A.D. to Present
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrb.50299openalex-extracted
Earthquake synchrony and clustering on Fucino faults (Central Italy) as revealed from in situ36Cl exposure dating
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-83252-9_2openalex-extracted
Temporal and Magnitude Dependence in Earthquake Recurrence Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00818-yopenalex-extracted
The Italian earthquake catalogue CPTI15
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1951(74)90030-4openalex-extracted
Probability of earthquake occurrence as obtained from a Weibull distribution analysis of crustal strain
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0148-9062(86)90651-0openalex-extracted
Implications of fault slip rates and earthquake recurrence models to probabilistic seismic hazard estimates
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2019.228289openalex-extracted
Earthquake supercycles and Long-Term Fault Memory
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2021.229016openalex-extracted
Modeling of earthquake chronology from paleoseismic data: Insights for regional earthquake recurrence and earthquake storms in the Central Apennines
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/1999jb900115openalex-extracted
Estimating the hazard of rupture using uncertain occurrence times of paleoearthquakes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2009jb006982openalex-extracted
Recent behavior of the North Anatolian Fault: Insights from an integrated paleoseismological data set
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010jb007846openalex-extracted
A retrospective comparative forecast test on the 1992 Landers sequence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010jb007917openalex-extracted
Bayesian forecasting of recurrent earthquakes and predictive performance for a small sample size
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl052275openalex-extracted
Paleoseismic interevent times interpreted for an unsegmented earthquake rupture forecast
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl089272openalex-extracted
Periodicity and Clustering in the Long‐Term Earthquake Record
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2021jb021996openalex-extracted
Age Uncertainty in Recurrence Analysis of Paleoseismic Records
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/96jb01909openalex-extracted
Global postseismic rebound of a viscoelastic Earth: Theory for finite faults and application to the 1964 Alaska earthquake
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/jb088ib11p09331openalex-extracted
Earthquake frequency distribution and the mechanics of faulting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/jb089ib07p05681openalex-extracted
Fault behavior and characteristic earthquakes: Examples from the Wasatch and San Andreas Fault Zones
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/jb089ib07p05905openalex-extracted
"Probabilities of occurrence of large plate rupturing earthquakes for the San Andreas, San Jacinto, and Imperial faults, California,1983–2003""
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/jb090ib05p03589openalex-extracted
Seismic potential for large and great interplate earthquakes along the Chilean and Southern Peruvian Margins of South America: A quantitative reappraisal
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/jb091ib12p12587openalex-extracted
Earthquakes, quaternary faults, and seismic hazard in California
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46258-zopenalex-extracted
Earthquake forecasting from paleoseismic records
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2012.737745openalex-extracted
Optimal Detection of Changepoints With a Linear Computational Cost
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/08120099708728304openalex-extracted
Episodic nature of earthquake activity in stable continental regions revealed by palaeoseismicity studies of Australian and North American quaternary faults
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt404openalex-extracted
A new hybrid Coulomb/statistical model for forecasting aftershock rates
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1109/tac.1974.1100705openalex-extracted
A new look at the statistical model identification
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1109/tc.1979.1675432openalex-extracted
Algorithms for Reporting and Counting Geometric Intersections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.1987.tb01653.xopenalex-extracted
Random stress and earthquake statistics: time dependence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246x.1996.tb05641.xopenalex-extracted
Fault trace complexity, cumulative slip, and the shape of the magnitude-frequency distribution for strike-slip faults: a global survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1163589openalex-extracted
Earthquake Supercycles Inferred from Sea-Level Changes Recorded in the Corals of West Sumatra
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1218959openalex-extracted
Major Earthquakes Occur Regularly on an Isolated Plate Boundary Fault
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.229.4714.619openalex-extracted
The Parkfield, California, Earthquake Prediction Experiment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.258.5086.1328openalex-extracted
Change in Failure Stress on the Southern San Andreas Fault System Caused by the 1992 Magnitude = 7.4 Landers Earthquake
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1130/1052-5173(2004)014<4:watecw>2.0.co;2openalex-extracted
Wrightwood and the earthquake cycle: What a long recurrence record tells us about how faults work
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1144/sp432.2openalex-extracted
The Cadell Fault, southeastern Australia: a record of temporally clustered morphogenic seismicity in a low-strain intraplate region
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120000094openalex-extracted
Paleoseismicity of Two Historically Quiescent Faults in Australia: Implications for Fault Behavior in Stable Continental Regions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120000605openalex-extracted
Paleoseismic Event Dating and the Conditional Probability of Large Earthquakes on the Southern San Andreas Fault, California
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120010267openalex-extracted
A Brownian Model for Recurrent Earthquakes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120050821openalex-extracted
The 2004 Parkfield Earthquake, the 1985 Prediction, and Characteristic Earthquakes: Lessons for the Future
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120080069openalex-extracted
Is There a Basis for Preferring Characteristic Earthquakes over a Gutenberg-Richter Distribution in Probabilistic Earthquake Forecasting?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110102openalex-extracted
Integration of Paleoseismic Data from Multiple Sites to Develop an Objective Earthquake Chronology: Application to the Weber Segment of the Wasatch Fault Zone, Utah
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110170openalex-extracted
National Seismic Hazard Model for New Zealand: 2010 Update
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130164openalex-extracted
Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)--The Time-Independent Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190148openalex-extracted
Complex Temporal Patterns of Large Earthquakes: Devil’s Staircases
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/bssa0750040939openalex-extracted
Implications of fault slip rates and earthquake recurrence models to probabilistic seismic hazard estimates
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/bssa0770041382openalex-extracted
A generic recurrence interval distribution for earthquake forecasting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/bssa0840030935openalex-extracted
Static stress changes and the triggering of earthquakes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/bssa0890051147openalex-extracted
Worldwide doublets of large shallow earthquakes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.66.4.8openalex-extracted
Mapping Seismic Hazard in the Central and Eastern United States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20071437copenalex-extracted
Monte Carlo method for determining earthquake recurrence parameters from short paleoseismic catalogs: Example calculations for California
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr96706openalex-extracted
Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for the state of California
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr99522openalex-extracted
A physically-based earthquake recurrence model for estimation of long-term earthquake probabilities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7339-2023openalex-extracted
Deciphering past earthquakes from the probabilistic modeling of paleoseismic records – the Paleoseismic EArthquake CHronologies code (PEACH, version 1)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176344136openalex-snapshot
Estimating the Dimension of a Model

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-131-2026openalex-snapshot
Paleoseismic history of the intermountain Rieti Basin (Central Apennines, Italy)
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