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When Do Prediction Markets Return Average Beliefs? Experimental Evidence

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5128012
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Evaluating the replicability of social science experiments in Nature and Science between 2010 and 2015
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Double Auction Markets with Stochastic Supply and Demand Schedules: Call Markets and Continuous Auction Trading Mechanisms
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Explaining the Favorite–Long Shot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?
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Asset Pricing and Asymmetric Reasoning
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Experimenting with Measurement Error: Techniques with Applications to the Caltech Cohort Study
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The Binarized Scoring Rule
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How Much Information Is Incorporated into Financial Asset Prices? Experimental Evidence
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The Speed of Information Revelation and Eventual Price Quality in Markets with Insiders: Comparing Two Theories
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Experiments on Percolation of Information in Dark Markets
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NATURALLY OCCURRING PREFERENCES AND GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM: A LABORATORY STUDY
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Ellsberg Revisited: An Experimental Study
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Adaptive Traders and the Design of Financial Markets
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The Promise of Prediction Markets
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An Experiment on Risk Taking and Evaluation Periods
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Prediction Markets
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Price Reaction to Information with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Wealth Effects: Underreaction, Momentum, and Reversal
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20201248openalex-snapshot
Belief Elicitation and Behavioral Incentive Compatibility
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Learning from Unrealized versus Realized Prices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1100.1226openalex-snapshot
Prediction Markets: Alternative Mechanisms for Complex Environments with Few Traders
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Ambiguity Attitudes in a Large Representative Sample
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2021.4213openalex-snapshot
Manipulation and (Mis)trust in Prediction Markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1595525openalex-snapshot
Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1770882openalex-snapshot
A Prediction Market for Climate Outcomes
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Learning from Unrealized Versus Realized Prices
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Bubbles and Information in Continuous Double Auction and Call Market: An Experiment
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Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty and Risk
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Competitivity in Auction Markets: An Experimental and Theoretical Investigation
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A Comparison of Posted-Offer and Double-Auction Pricing Institutions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w12200openalex-snapshot
Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
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On the Empirical Validity of Cumulative Prospect Theory: Experimental Evidence of Rank‐Independent Probability Weighting
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Risk aversion and information aggregation in binary‐asset markets
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INCENTIVE AND ACCURACY ISSUES IN MOVIE PREDICTION MARKETS
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Prediction Markets – A literature review 2014
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Macroeconomic Derivatives: An Initial Analysis of Market-Based Macro Forecasts, Uncertainty, and Risk
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