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Phenological Model Predictions and Climate Projections Accuracy: Implications for Spring Frost Risk for Quercus Robur in Central Europe

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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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The robustness of future changes in Northern Hemisphere blocking: A large ensemble projection with multiple sea surface temperature patterns
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Winter and spring frost events delay leaf‐out, hamper growth and increase mortality in European beech seedlings, with weaker effects of subsequent frosts
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Multi‐model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution
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Physiology-based phenology models for forest tree species in Germany
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Simulation of forest tree species’ bud burst dates for different climate scenarios: chilling requirements and photo-period may limit bud burst advancement
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Climate change and spring frost damages for sweet cherries in Germany
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EURO-CORDEX: new high-resolution climate change projections for European impact research
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The influence of fencing on seedling establishment during reforestation of oak stands: a comparison of artificial and natural regeneration techniques including costs
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Quo vadis Scots pine forestry in northern Germany: How do silvicultural management and climate change determine an uncertain future?
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Modelling daily temperature extremes: recent climate and future changes over Europe
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Increasing risks of apple tree frost damage under climate change
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European oak powdery mildew: impact on trees, effects of environmental factors, and potential effects of climate change
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On the knowns and unknowns of natural regeneration of silviculturally managed sessile oak (Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl.) forests—a literature review
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Interaction of drought and frost in tree ecophysiology: rethinking the timing of risks
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Comparison of approaches for spatial interpolation of daily air temperature in a large region with complex topography and highly variable station density
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Assessing the effects of climate change on the phenology of European temperate trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.08.266openalex-snapshot
Modeling climate change impact on potato crop phenology, and risk of frost damage and heat stress in northern Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.11.007openalex-snapshot
Evaluating phenological models for the prediction of leaf-out dates in six temperate tree species across central Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.09.005openalex-snapshot
Increase in the risk of exposure of forest and fruit trees to spring frosts at higher elevations in Switzerland over the last four decades
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.10.007openalex-snapshot
Assessing spring frost effects on beech forests in Central Apennines from remotely-sensed data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107695openalex-snapshot
Summer drought and spring frost, but not their interaction, constrain European beech and Silver fir growth in their southern distribution limits
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108023openalex-snapshot
Advancing simulations of water fluxes, soil moisture and drought stress by using the LWF-Brook90 hydrological model in R
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108243openalex-snapshot
Differential response of oak and beech to late frost damage: an integrated analysis from organ to forest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106439openalex-snapshot
Bias correction of surface air temperature and precipitation in CORDEX East Asia simulation: What should we do when applying bias correction?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2018.02.001openalex-snapshot
Climate driven trends in tree biomass increment show asynchronous dependence on tree-ring width and wood density variation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.01.010openalex-snapshot
Bayesian comparison of six different temperature-based budburst models for four temperate tree species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.11.013openalex-snapshot
Climate change impact assessment—A simulation experiment with Norway spruce for a forest district in Central Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envexpbot.2012.02.009openalex-snapshot
Ecological stress memory and cross stress tolerance in plants in the face of climate extremes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2019.01.005openalex-snapshot
From phenology to forest management: Ecotypes selection can avoid early or late frosts, but not both
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2019.117652openalex-snapshot
The influence of climate and management on survival probability for Germany’s most important tree species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2020.118802openalex-snapshot
Modelling potential density of natural regeneration of European oak species (Quercus robur L., Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl.) depending on the distance to the potential seed source: Methodological approach for modelling dispersal from inventory data at forest enterprise level
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2024.122022openalex-snapshot
Recent growth decline and shifts in climatic growth constraints suggest climate vulnerability of beech, Douglas fir, pine and oak in Northern Germany
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scienta.2012.07.011openalex-snapshot
Climate change impacts on winter chill for temperate fruit and nut production: A review
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145860openalex-snapshot
Warmer springs have increased the frequency and extension of late-frost defoliations in southern European beech forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0378-1127(97)00235-1openalex-snapshot
Silvicultural methods of oak regeneration with special respect to shade tolerant mixed species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2006gl028726openalex-snapshot
Climate change uncertainty for daily minimum and maximum temperatures: A model inter‐comparison
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2010gl044613openalex-snapshot
Winter 2010 in Europe: A cold extreme in a warming climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/17709openalex-snapshot
Growing season extended in Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-02690-yopenalex-snapshot
Extension of the growing season increases vegetation exposure to frost
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0399-1openalex-snapshot
Ecosystem warming extends vegetation activity but heightens vulnerability to cold temperatures
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1046/j.0016-8025.2003.01032.xopenalex-snapshot
Non‐structural carbon compounds in temperate forest trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1051/forest:19990506openalex-snapshot
Impact of late frost on height growth in young sessile oak regenerations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1051/forest:2000119openalex-snapshot
Interactions between forest stands and microclimate: Ecophysiological aspects and consequences for silviculture
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1717342115openalex-snapshot
Global warming leads to more uniform spring phenology across elevations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1920816117openalex-snapshot
Late-spring frost risk between 1959 and 2017 decreased in North America but increased in Europe and Asia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/1/014002openalex-snapshot
Arctic warming, atmospheric blocking and cold European winters in CMIP5 models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/aob/mcx061openalex-snapshot
Photoperiod- and temperature-mediated control of growth cessation and dormancy in trees: a molecular perspective
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/forestry/cpl034openalex-snapshot
Oak natural regeneration and conversion processes in mixed Scots pine stands
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.16.01815openalex-snapshot
Monitoring of Freezing Dynamics in Trees: A Simple Phase Shift Causes Complexity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.75.4.1139openalex-snapshot
Behavior of the Plasma Membrane of Isolated Protoplasts during a Freeze-Thaw Cycle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.12623openalex-snapshot
Convergence of leaf‐out towards minimum risk of freezing damage in temperate trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.14243openalex-snapshot
No risk—no fun: Penalty and recovery from spring frost damage in deciduous temperate trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.12403openalex-snapshot
Escape of spring frost and disease through phenological variations in oak populations along elevation gradients
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.12574openalex-snapshot
Where, why and how? Explaining the low‐temperature range limits of temperate tree species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.14260openalex-snapshot
Four ways to define the growing season
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.70096openalex-snapshot
Tree Diversity Increases Forest Temperature Buffering via Enhancing Canopy Density and Structural Diversity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12360openalex-snapshot
Chilling outweighs photoperiod in preventing precocious spring development
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12593openalex-snapshot
Process‐based models not always better than empirical models for simulating budburst of Norway spruce and birch in Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14619openalex-snapshot
Plant phenology and global climate change: Current progresses and challenges
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2435.2009.01587.xopenalex-snapshot
Spring 2007 warmth and frost: phenology, damage and refoliation in a temperate deciduous forest
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.01097.xopenalex-snapshot
Onset of spring starting earlier across the Northern Hemisphere
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.12411openalex-snapshot
Cold tolerance of tree species is related to the climate of their native ranges
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.12452openalex-snapshot
European deciduous trees exhibit similar safety margins against damage by spring freeze events along elevational gradients
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.16224openalex-snapshot
Flower phenology as a disruptor of the fruiting dynamics in temperate oak species
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/plb.12975openalex-snapshot
Phenology and growth of Fagus sylvatica and Quercus robur seedlings in response to temperature variation in the parental versus offspring generation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-31-1-155openalex-snapshot
Effects of pine shelterwoods on microclimate and frost damage to Norway spruce seedlings
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1139/x26-172openalex-snapshot
Influence of shelter on night temperatures, frost damage, and bud break of white spruce seedlings
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2011jcli4075.1openalex-snapshot
Extreme Cold Winter Temperatures in Europe under the Influence of North Atlantic Atmospheric Blocking
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-17-0141.1openalex-snapshot
A Pragmatic Approach to Build a Reduced Regional Climate Projection Ensemble for Germany Using the EURO-CORDEX 8.5 Ensemble
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-16-0518.1openalex-snapshot
Connecting Atmospheric Blocking to European Temperature Extremes in Spring
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0862.1openalex-snapshot
From CMIP3 to CMIP6: Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocking Simulation in Present and Future Climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-23-0589.1openalex-snapshot
Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocking in CMIP6 Climate Projections Using a Hybrid Index
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0134935openalex-snapshot
Regeneration Patterns of European Oak Species (Quercus petraea (Matt.) Liebl., Quercus robur L.) in Dependence of Environment and Neighborhood
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0200201openalex-snapshot
Spring frost risk for regional apple production under a warmer climate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/frp-2017-0035openalex-snapshot
Cost analysis of artificial and natural oak regeneration in selected forest districts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.15287/afr.2009.136openalex-snapshot
Bud burst and flowering phenology in a mixed oak forest from Eastern Romania
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17221/12/2011-jfsopenalex-snapshot
Natural regeneration of sessile oak under different light conditions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17221/66/2013-jfsopenalex-snapshot
Comparison of different forest regeneration methods after windthrow
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2025.180openalex-snapshot
The use of a shuffled complex evolution algorithm for calibration of a dynamic leaf emergence model leads to better spatial ETa predictions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2403139openalex-snapshot
Thermal Time, Chill Days and Prediction of Budburst in Picea sitchensis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2312/wdcc/rekliesde_nutzerhandbuchopenalex-snapshot
ReKliEs-De Nutzerhandbuch
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3188/szf.2008.0362openalex-snapshot
Klimawandel als waldbauliche Herausforderung | Climate change as a challenge for silviculture
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.32614/cran.package.caramelopenalex-snapshot
caRamel: Automatic Calibration by Evolutionary Multi Objective Algorithm
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.32614/cran.package.mgcvopenalex-snapshot
mgcv: Mixed GAM Computation Vehicle with Automatic Smoothness Estimation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2014.00541openalex-snapshot
The interaction between freezing tolerance and phenology in temperate deciduous trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2016.00419openalex-snapshot
Repeated Summer Drought and Re-watering during the First Growing Year of Oak (Quercus petraea) Delay Autumn Senescence and Bud Burst in the Following Spring
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/f12111604openalex-snapshot
Growth Recovery and Phenological Responses of Juvenile Beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) Exposed to Spring Warming and Late Spring Frost
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/f13081223openalex-snapshot
Oak Decline Caused by Biotic and Abiotic Factors in Central Europe: A Case Study from the Czech Republic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3390/f8100363openalex-snapshot
Tree Species Selection in the Face of Drought Risk—Uncertainty in Forest Planning
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.36334/modsim.2023.zhang49openalex-snapshot
Assessing the impact of bias correction approaches on climate extremes and the climate change signal
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3832/ifor1967-009openalex-snapshot
Twenty years of conversion: from Scots pine plantations to oak dominated multifunctional forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-11-93-2014openalex-snapshot
An overview of the phenological observation network and the phenological database of Germany's national meteorological service (Deutscher Wetterdienst)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-241-2019openalex-snapshot
User tailored results of a regional climate model ensemble to plan adaption to the changing climate in Germany
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-1355-2024openalex-snapshot
Frost matters: incorporating late-spring frost into a dynamic vegetation model regulates regional productivity dynamics in European beech forests
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-865-2024openalex-snapshot
A model of the within-population variability of budburst in forest trees
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1045-2023openalex-snapshot
Human influence on growing-period frosts like in early April 2021 in central France
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