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The Electoral Consequences of Sudden Exogenous Shocks: Psychological, Socioeconomic, and Institutional Pathways Influencing Voting Behavior

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5385509
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Shocks to issue salience and electoral competition
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Is Voting Transformative? Expanding and Meta-Analyzing the Evidence
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After the Flood: Disasters, Ideological Voting and Electoral Choices in Chile
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After a Storm Come Votes: Identifying the Effects of Disaster Relief on Electoral Outcomes
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Natural disasters and voter gratitude: What is the role of prevention policies?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-024-01162-4openalex-snapshot
Exogenous shocks and electoral outcomes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2020.101983openalex-snapshot
Natural disasters and electoral outcomes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2021.102098openalex-snapshot
Contagious populists: The impact of election information shocks on populist party preferences in Germany
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Natural disasters and the limits of electoral clientelism: Evidence from Honduras
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2024.102749openalex-snapshot
Do green parties in government benefit from natural catastrophes? How wildfires are linked to voting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104464openalex-snapshot
Electoral earthquake: Local shocks and authoritarian voting
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Natural disasters and voting behavior under authoritarian regimes: Evidence from the Brazilian shrimp vote
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Extreme weather and the politics of climate change: A study of campaign finance and elections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.11.013openalex-snapshot
Happy voters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2018.07.011openalex-snapshot
Popularity shocks and political selection
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/ipo.2022.9openalex-snapshot
Voting between two global crises. A NUTS3-level analysis of retrospective voting in four South-European countries
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2020.25openalex-snapshot
Do natural disasters help the environment? How voters respond and what that means
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2020.39openalex-snapshot
Retrospection, fairness, and economic shocks: how do voters judge policy responses to natural disasters?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2020.48openalex-snapshot
Beaten ballots: political participation dynamics amidst police interventions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s000305540808009xopenalex-snapshot
Social Pressure and Voter Turnout: Evidence from a Large-Scale Field Experiment
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Misdemeanor Disenfranchisement? The Demobilizing Effects of Brief Jail Spells on Potential Voters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s000712341200083xopenalex-snapshot
Predictably Unpredictable: The Effects of Conflict Involvement on the Error Variance of Vote Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123421000478openalex-snapshot
Commodity Shocks and Incumbency Effects
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0007123423000662openalex-snapshot
The Effects of Import Shocks, Electoral Institutions, and Radical Party Competition on Legislator Ideology: Evidence from France
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022381609990508openalex-snapshot
The Global Economy, Competency, and the Economic Vote
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s175577392300019xopenalex-snapshot
Prominence over proximity? Terror attacks’ impact on party preferences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1800302115openalex-snapshot
Using a natural experiment to estimate the electoral consequences of terrorist attacks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2104194118openalex-snapshot
The microdynamics of spatial polarization: A model and an application to survey data from Ukraine
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2018.1549851openalex-snapshot
To adapt or to disregard? Parties’ reactions to external shocks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2020.1857388openalex-snapshot
Emotions and domestic vote choice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/694543openalex-snapshot
Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste: Agenda Setting and Legislative Voting in Response to the EU Crisis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/707859openalex-snapshot
Does Voting Have Upstream and Downstream Consequences? Regression Discontinuity Tests of the Transformative Voting Hypothesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/711177openalex-snapshot
Unveiling: An Unexpected Mid-campaign Court Ruling’s Consequences and the Limits of Following the Leader
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/722540openalex-snapshot
Climate-Related Natural Disasters and Voting Behavior: Evidence from Environmental Legislation in the US Senate
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00440openalex-snapshot
Signaling and Election Motivations in a Voting Model with Common Values and Responsive Candidates
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12156openalex-snapshot
What the Demolition of Public Housing Teaches Us about the Impact of Racial Threat on Political Behavior
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12210openalex-snapshot
Is Voting Habit Forming? New Evidence from Experiments and Regression Discontinuities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12334openalex-snapshot
Learning about Voter Rationality
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12358openalex-snapshot
The Trade Origins of Economic Nationalism: Import Competition and Voting Behavior in Western Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12503openalex-snapshot
The Political Consequences of External Economic Shocks: Evidence from Poland
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12376openalex-snapshot
The political dynamics of voter retrospection and disaster responses
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ecca.12513openalex-snapshot
Economic insecurity and the demand for populism in Europe
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.13184openalex-snapshot
The lasting impact of external shocks on political opinions and populist voting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ecpo.12153openalex-snapshot
Political efficacy and the persistence of turnout shocks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/pops.70013openalex-snapshot
Seeing red: How gerrymandering emotionally mobilizes turnout
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-050517-110713openalex-snapshot
Political Responses to Economic Shocks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00088openalex-snapshot
Economics and Policy Preferences: Causal Evidence of the Impact of Economic Conditions on Support for Redistribution and Other Ballot Proposals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140211047410openalex-snapshot
(Un)Natural Disasters: Electoral Cycles in Disaster Relief
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343313479814openalex-snapshot
Voters versus terrorists: Analyzing the effect of terrorist events on voter turnout
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/1065912913495592openalex-snapshot
Natural Disaster and Democratic Legitimacy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/10659129221093386openalex-snapshot
Weather to Vote: How Natural Disasters Shape Turnout Decisions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/10659129231166679openalex-snapshot
Suspicious Minds: Unexpected Election Outcomes, Perceived Electoral Integrity and Satisfaction With Democracy in American Presidential Elections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/1078087418798496openalex-snapshot
Postdisaster Politics: New Lessons from New Orleans
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068815605671openalex-snapshot
Cascade or echo chamber? A complex agent-based simulation of voter turnout
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168020987333openalex-snapshot
Terrorism and Voting Behavior: Evidence from the United States
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20140533openalex-snapshot
Habit Formation in Voting: Evidence from Rainy Elections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.dis.cbf57c8ac3b239ba51ccc801d3362c07openalex-snapshot
Do Natural Disasters Affect Voting Behavior? Evidence from Croatian Floods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00015075openalex-snapshot
Natural Disasters and Political Engagement: Evidence from the 2010–11 Pakistani Floods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1561/115.00000067openalex-snapshot
Insuring Against Hunger? The Long-Term Political Consequences of Exposure to the Dutch Famine
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17771/pucrio.acad.62528openalex-snapshot
ESSAYS ON THE IMPACT OF EXTREME EVENTS ON CULTURE: THE CASE OF JAPAN
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3272681openalex-snapshot
Evidence that Casting a Ballot Increases Political Trust: Isolating the Downstream Effects of Voting by Generating Exogenous Shocks in Turnout
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3689460openalex-snapshot
Economic Shocks and Populism: The Political Implications of Reference-Dependent Preferences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3895192openalex-snapshot
Insuring Against Hunger? Long-Term Political Consequences of Exposure to the Dutch Famine
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2111378openalex-snapshot
A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting: Taking Account of the Political Context
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202308openalex-snapshot
The effect of local economic shocks on local and national elections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/h28kgopenalex-snapshot
Does electoral behavior change after a protest cycle? Evidence from Chile and Bolivia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/3d4nyopenalex-snapshot
The Coronavirus Pandemic and Voter Turnout: Addressing the Impact of Covid-19 on Electoral Participation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w23589openalex-snapshot
Vulnerability and Clientelism
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