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Beliefs and Stock Market Fluctuations: New Evidence from the Past Seven Decades
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What this work says
Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(82)90004-6openalex-snapshot
The value line enigma (1965–1978)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(85)90046-7openalex-snapshot
The effect of value line investment survey rank changes on common stock prices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eeh.2022.101475openalex-snapshot
Digitizing historical balance sheet data: A practitioner’s guide
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2005.08.003openalex-snapshot
The long-run equity risk premium
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.06.002openalex-snapshot
An examination of Value Line’s long-term projections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.08.007openalex-snapshot
X-CAPM: An extrapolative capital asset pricing model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.05.059openalex-snapshot
Reconstructing the yield curve
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.09.013openalex-snapshot
Biases in long-horizon predictive regressions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.103713openalex-snapshot
Dynamics of subjective risk premia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2008.09.001openalex-snapshot
Predictability in financial markets: What do survey expectations tell us?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2018.1506926openalex-snapshot
HAR Inference: Recommendations for Practice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1081/etc-120028836openalex-snapshot
Automatic Block-Length Selection for the Dependent Bootstrap
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/250059openalex-snapshot
By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/261703openalex-snapshot
Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/378531openalex-snapshot
Overconfidence and Speculative Bubbles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/727713openalex-snapshot
Belief Overreaction and Stock Market Puzzles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw034openalex-snapshot
What is the Expected Return on the Market?*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdae059openalex-snapshot
Expectations and Learning from Prices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/1.3.195openalex-snapshot
The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaa129openalex-snapshot
Review Article: Perspectives on the Future of Asset Pricing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhab034openalex-snapshot
Credit Supply and Housing Speculation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhab126openalex-snapshot
The Return Expectations of Public Pension Funds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhae008openalex-snapshot
Equity Return Expectations and Portfolios: Evidence from Large Asset Managers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhm014openalex-snapshot
A Comprehensive Look at The Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhn056openalex-snapshot
Multiple-Predictor Regressions: Hypothesis Testing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hht082openalex-snapshot
Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-842x.1988.tb00484.xopenalex-snapshot
BIAS IN THE ESTIMATION OF MULTIVARIATE AUTOREGRESSIONS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1981.tb00656.xopenalex-snapshot
A Note on Testing an Aggressive Investment Strategy Using Value Line Ranks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01671.xopenalex-snapshot
Presidential Address: Discount Rates
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-053x.2005.tb00109.xopenalex-snapshot
Using Expectations to Test Asset Pricing Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13016openalex-snapshot
Subjective Cash Flow and Discount Rate Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1207/s15327760jpfm0101_05openalex-snapshot
Measuring Bubble Expectations and Investor Confidence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20140205openalex-snapshot
Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.21.2.109openalex-snapshot
Disagreement and the Stock Market
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1884166openalex-snapshot
Speculative Investor Behavior in a Stock Market with Heterogeneous Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2118454openalex-snapshot
Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2328190openalex-snapshot
Stock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends
What points at this work
Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2026.104382openalex-snapshot
Heterogeneous beliefs, asset prices, and business cycles
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