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Bias and Predictability in Analysts' Beliefs

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5733302
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Are Stars’ Opinions Worth More? The Relation Between Analyst Reputation and Recommendation Values
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Differences between COMPUSTAT and CRSP SIC codes and related effects on research
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Buys, holds, and sells: The distribution of investment banks’ stock ratings and the implications for the profitability of analysts’ recommendations
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Estimating risk-return relations with analysts price targets
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Do analysts really anchor? Evidence from credit risk and suppressed negative information
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Asymptotic theory and wild bootstrap inference with clustered errors
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Information content of equity analyst reports
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Who herds?
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Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns
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Extrapolation and bubbles
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Empirical tests of asset pricing models with individual assets: Resolving the errors-in-variables bias in risk premium estimation
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Diagnostic bubbles
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Dynamics of subjective risk premia
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Predictability in financial markets: What do survey expectations tell us?
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The effect of experience on security analyst underreaction
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Herding among security analysts
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Anchoring Bias in Consensus Forecasts and Its Effect on Market Prices
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Are the Wall Street Analyst Rankings Popularity Contests?
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The Role of Anchoring Bias in the Equity Market: Evidence from Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts and Stock Returns
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Random Forests
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Comparing Predictive Accuracy
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Wild Bootstrap and Asymptotic Inference With Multiway Clustering
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The Persistence of Risk-Adjusted Mutual Fund Performance
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Forward Exchange Rates as Optimal Predictors of Future Spot Rates: An Econometric Analysis
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Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models
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Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets
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Belief Overreaction and Stock Market Puzzles
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Perspectives on Behavioral Finance: Does "Irrationality" Disappear with Wealth? Evidence from Expectations and Actions
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Memory and Probability
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Overreaction in Expectations: Evidence and Theory
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Cognitive Uncertainty
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Overinference from Weak Signals and Underinference from Strong Signals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjq004openalex-snapshot
Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk Taking?*
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Learning Through Noticing: Theory and Evidence from a Field Experiment *
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjx034openalex-snapshot
Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates*
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Cross-Sectional Skewness
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Expectations and Learning from Prices
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The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors
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Where Do Betas Come From? Asset Price Dynamics and the Sources of Systematic Risk
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/7.1.97openalex-snapshot
Analyst Forecasts and Herding Behavior:
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhab086openalex-snapshot
Asset Pricing with Fading Memory
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The Return Expectations of Public Pension Funds
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Man versus Machine Learning: The Term Structure of Earnings Expectations and Conditional Biases
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Noise in Expectations: Evidence from Analyst Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhae008openalex-snapshot
Equity Return Expectations and Portfolios: Evidence from Large Asset Managers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhae009openalex-snapshot
Which Subjective Expectations Explain Asset Prices?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaf019openalex-snapshot
Speculating on Higher-Order Beliefs
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhn109openalex-snapshot
Conflicts of Interest and Stock Recommendations: The Effects of the Global Settlement and Related Regulations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhq094openalex-snapshot
When Are Analyst Recommendation Changes Influential?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hht082openalex-snapshot
Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00184openalex-snapshot
A Unified Theory of Underreaction, Momentum Trading, and Overreaction in Asset Markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00350openalex-snapshot
Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-679x.12067openalex-snapshot
Inside the 'Black Box' of Sell-Side Financial Analysts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6261.00593openalex-snapshot
An Empirical Analysis of Analysts' Target Prices: Short‐term Informativeness and Long‐term Dynamics
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Knowing What Others Know: Coordination Motives in Information Acquisition
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2007.00783.xopenalex-snapshot
Efficient Use of Information and Social�Value�of�Information
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-679x.2006.00215.xopenalex-snapshot
Predictability in Financial Analyst Forecast Errors: Learning or Irrationality?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1990.tb03695.xopenalex-snapshot
Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04010.xopenalex-snapshot
Tests of Analysts' Overreaction/Underreaction to Earnings Information as an Explanation for Anomalous Stock Price Behavior
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Sequential Sales, Learning, and Cascades
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jeea.12104openalex-snapshot
SELECTIVE ATTENTION AND LEARNING
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12734openalex-snapshot
Sticky Expectations and the Profitability Anomaly
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12833openalex-snapshot
Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13016openalex-snapshot
Subjective Cash Flow and Discount Rate Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13216openalex-snapshot
Duration-Driven Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-051520-011616openalex-snapshot
Salience
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-financial-121415-032930openalex-snapshot
Analysts’ Forecasts and Asset Pricing: A Survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.90.3.414openalex-snapshot
Bootstrap-Based Improvements for Inference with Clustered Errors
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/jasa.2009.tm08744openalex-snapshot
The Dependent Wild Bootstrap
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/jbes.2010.07136openalex-snapshot
Robust Inference With Multiway Clustering
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/aos/1176349025openalex-snapshot
Bootstrap and Wild Bootstrap for High Dimensional Linear Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/000282802762024610openalex-snapshot
Social Value of Public Information
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/000282805775014317openalex-snapshot
Herding and Contrarian Behavior in Financial Markets: An Internet Experiment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/000282805775014443openalex-snapshot
Herd Behavior in a Laboratory Financial Market
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20110306openalex-snapshot
Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts
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Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains
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Overreaction in Macroeconomic Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20200243openalex-snapshot
Five Facts about Beliefs and Portfolios
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20200505openalex-snapshot
Sentiment and Speculation in a Market with Heterogeneous Beliefs
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20201713openalex-snapshot
Belief Distortions and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20231246openalex-snapshot
Corporate Discount Rates
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When Rational Sellers Face Nonrational Buyers: Evidence from Herding on eBay
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From the Horse's Mouth: Economic Conditions and Investor Expectations of Risk and Return
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The Econometrics of Financial Markets
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A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix
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A Simple Model of Herd Behavior
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2308/accr.2003.78.1.193openalex-snapshot
Analyst Forecast Revisions and Market Price Discovery
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2308/tar-2015-0265openalex-snapshot
Understanding the Determinants of Analyst Target Price Implied Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2308/tar-2022-0309openalex-snapshot
Stock Price Reactions to the Information and Bias in Analyst-Expected Returns
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What Have They Been Thinking? Home Buyer Behavior in Hot and Cold Markets
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A Quantitative Analysis of Distortions in Managerial Forecasts
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Forward Return Expectations
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What Hundreds of Economic News Events Say About Belief Overreaction in the Stock Market
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Behavioral Attenuation
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Finance Without Exotic Risk
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Expectations Formation with Fat-Tailed Processes: Evidence and Theory
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The Prestakes of Stock Market Investing
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