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The Microstructure of Conditional Prediction Markets: A Theory of Selection, Multiplicity, and Mode Collapse in Futarchy
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What this work says
Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2006.01.004openalex-snapshot
Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.03.011openalex-snapshot
Trading frenzies and their impact on real investment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/378531openalex-snapshot
Overconfidence and Speculative Bubbles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjae021openalex-snapshot
Perceptions About Monetary Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhaa089openalex-snapshot
Tokenomics: Dynamic Adoption and Valuation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhj036openalex-snapshot
Beauty Contests and Iterated Expectations in Asset Markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2010.01570.xopenalex-snapshot
Disagreement and Learning: Dynamic Patterns of Trade
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12226openalex-snapshot
Information Diversity and Complementarities in Trading and Information Acquisition
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12279openalex-snapshot
The Beauty Contest and Short‐Term Trading
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12618openalex-snapshot
Belief Dispersion in the Stock Market
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12852openalex-snapshot
Why Don't We Agree? Evidence from a Social Network of Investors
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13008openalex-snapshot
Trading Costs and Informational Efficiency
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13179openalex-snapshot
Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13192openalex-snapshot
Decentralization through Tokenization
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jopp.12008openalex-snapshot
Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-financial-110311-101826openalex-snapshot
The Real Effects of Financial Markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20110306openalex-snapshot
Information Rigidity and the Expectations Formation Process: A Simple Framework and New Facts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20120881openalex-snapshot
Price Reaction to Information with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Wealth Effects: Underreaction, Momentum, and Reversal
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.96.3.577openalex-snapshot
Media Frenzies in Markets for Financial Information
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1884166openalex-snapshot
Speculative Investor Behavior in a Stock Market with Heterogeneous Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1912352openalex-snapshot
Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error
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