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Price Formation and Information Flow in Earnings Prediction Markets

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7324239
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-4101(92)90016-uopenalex-snapshot
Information in prices about future earnings
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2010.06.004openalex-snapshot
Consistency in meeting or beating earnings expectations and management earnings forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2010.11.001openalex-snapshot
Understanding analysts' use of stock returns and other analysts' revisions when forecasting earnings
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.06.011openalex-snapshot
Stock Returns after Major Price Shocks: The Impact of Information
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.08.020openalex-snapshot
Reading the tea leaves: Model uncertainty, robust forecasts, and the autocorrelation of analysts’ forecast errors
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.04.007openalex-snapshot
Extrapolation and bubbles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2011.564154openalex-snapshot
Market efficiency and continuous information arrival: evidence from prediction markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhy005openalex-snapshot
High-Frequency Measures of Informed Trading and Corporate Announcements
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1911-3846.12232openalex-snapshot
The Market's Assessment of the Probability of Meeting or Beating the Consensus
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/0895330041371321openalex-snapshot
Prediction Markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w12200openalex-snapshot
Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w34702openalex-snapshot
Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets
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