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Subjective Probability Elicitation Techniques: A Performance Comparison

https://doi.org/10.2307/2490564
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Statistical principles in experimental design.
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From Shakespeare to Simon: Speculations-and Some Evidence- About Man's Ability to Process Information
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/h0025061openalex-snapshot
Subjective probabilities inferred from estimates and bets.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/h0026959openalex-snapshot
Subjective probability and decision strategy.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/00401706.1999.10485954openalex-snapshot
Nonparametric Statistical Methods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1974)055<1206:spfeim>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Subjective Probability Forecasting Experiments in Meteorology: Some Preliminary Results
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2344419openalex-snapshot
Subjective Probability and Its Measurement
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2490456openalex-snapshot
The Elicitation of Subjective Probabilities: A Laboratory Study in an Accounting Context

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Empirical comparison of subjective probability elicitation methods*
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Fertilization under Uncertainty: An Analysis Based on Producer Yield Expectations
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Subjective Probability Elicitation: The Effect of Congruity of Datum and Response Mode on Performance
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An Assessment of Laboratory Experiments in Accounting
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Priors in a Bayesian Audit: How Integration of Existing Information into the Prior Distribution Can Improve Audit Transparency and Efficiency
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Issues in the Probability Elicitation Process of Expert-Based Bayesian Networks
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