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Counterfactuals and the Cuban Missile Crisis

https://doi.org/10.2307/3013962
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Systems simulation artificial intelligence based simulations of foreign policy decision making
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Conceptual dependency: A theory of natural language understanding
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PRODUCTION SYSTEMS: MODELS OF CONTROL STRUCTURES
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A PRODUCTION SYSTEM FOR COUNTING, SUBITIZING AND ADDING11This paper presents a detailed description of production systems; there are several background papers that are required to fully understand the methodology and the particular substantive problems to which it is applied. For the general…
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Contextual prerequisites for understanding: Some investigations of comprehension and recall
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The magical number seven, plus or minus two: Some limits on our capacity for processing information.
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Generalized Precedent Logics for Resolving Insecurity Dilemmas∗
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The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice
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The Utilization of the Behavioral Sciences in Long Range Forecasting and Policy Planning
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Visual Information Processing
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Human Problem Solving.
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Meaning and the Moral Sciences.
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Aspects of Scientific Explanation.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2110761openalex-snapshot
Justifications and Precedents as Constraints in Foreign Policy Decision- Making
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2232078openalex-snapshot
Problems of World Modeling. Political and Social Implications.
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Computation: Finite and Infinite Machines.
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Theory of Modelling and Simulation.
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The Science of "Muddling Through"
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Cognition and Social Behavior
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The Sciences of the Artificial

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4666208openalex-extracted
INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AS A NATURAL SCIENCE: ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A NOOPOLITIK GLOBAL WORLD ORDER
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Systems simulation. Supplementing global models with computational models: An assessment and an energy example
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Introduction
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How Leaders Think, Decide, and Act
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Parallel event sequences in international crises
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Is there a role for artificial intelligence in sociological theorizing?
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Artificial intelligence and formal models of international behavior
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Modeling covert offensive cyber engagement decisions left of launch against limited ballistic missile fires
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Taiwan's calculus on military spending
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A Methodology for the Study of Historical Counterfactuals
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When Can History Be Our Guide? The Pitfalls of Counterfactual Inference
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Discrete Sequence Rule Models as a Social Science Methodology: An Exploratory Analysis of Foreign Policy Rule Enactment within Palestinian–Israeli Event Data
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The Situational Imperative: A Predictive Model of Foreign Policy Behavior
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Stories Remembered and Forgotten
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Predicting Soviet Military Intervention
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Interdependence in a Crisis Situation
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Ontologies, Problem Representation, and the Cuban Missile Crisis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/089443938700500406openalex-snapshot
Computers in Political Science
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PWORLD: A Precedent-Based Global Simulation
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Rule-Based Analysis of Sino-Soviet Negotiations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/089443939401200101openalex-snapshot
The Policy Arguer: The Architecture of an Expert System
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Political Science: Artificial Intelligence Applications
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POLI: An Expert System Model of U.S. Foreign Policy Belief Systems
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Choosing Sides: Testing a Political Proximity Model
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Analyzing Political Decision Making from an Information-Processing Perspective: JESSE
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Breaking Trade Dependency: A Global Simulation of Third World Proposals for Alternative Trade Regimes
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Analyzing Social Conflict via Computational Social Simulation: A Review of Approaches
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The Self Not Taken: How Alternative Selves Develop and How They Influence Our Professional Lives
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Explaining the Iraq War: counterfactual theory, logic, and evidence
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