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Convection‐permitting models: a step‐change in rainfall forecasting

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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Experimental ensemble forecasts of precipitation based on a convection‐resolving model
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The next generation of NWP: explicit forecasts of convection using the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model
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The benefits of the Met Office variable resolution NWP model for forecasting convection
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Spatial techniques applied to precipitation ensemble forecasts: from verification results to probabilistic products
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High‐resolution observations of precipitation from cumulonimbus clouds
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Fuzzy verification of high‐resolution gridded forecasts: a review and proposed framework
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A long‐term assessment of precipitation forecast skill using the Fractions Skill Score
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Assessing the spatial and temporal variation in the skill of precipitation forecasts from an NWP model
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Use of high‐resolution NWP rainfall and river flow forecasts for advance warning of the Carlisle flood, north‐west England
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Breakdown of hydrostatic balance at convective scales in the forecast errors in the Met Office Unified Model
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Ensemble forecasts of a flood‐producing storm: comparison of the influence of model‐state perturbations and parameter modifications
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Using an ultrahigh‐resolution regional climate model to predict local climatology
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The evolution of an MCS over southern England. Part 2: Model simulations and sensitivity to microphysics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2143openalex-snapshot
The convective adjustment time‐scale as indicator of predictability of convective precipitation
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The potential of 1 h refractivity changes from an operational C‐band magnetron‐based radar for numerical weather prediction validation and data assimilation†
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The impact of downscaled initial condition perturbations on convective‐scale ensemble forecasts of precipitation
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Doppler radar radial wind assimilation using an hourly cycling 3D‐Var with a 1.5 km resolution version of the Met Office Unified Model for nowcasting
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Mixing‐length controls on high‐resolution simulations of convective storms
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Synoptic versus orographic control on stationary convective banding
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Performance of 4D‐Var NWP ‐based nowcasting of precipitation at the Met Office for summer 2012
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Assimilation of radar‐derived rain rates into the convective‐scale model COSMO‐DE at DWD
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The Met Office global four‐dimensional variational data assimilation scheme
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A three-dimensional primitive equation model of cumulonimbus convection
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A non-hydrostatic mesoscale model
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Numerical prediction of thunderstorms - has its time come?
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The Meteorological Office analysis correction data assimilation scheme
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A conservative split-explicit integration scheme with fourth-order horizontal advection
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The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Methodology and validation
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A microphysically based precipitation scheme for the UK Meteorological Office Unified Model
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The Met. Office global three-dimensional variational data assimilation scheme
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Implementation of a new urban energy budget scheme in the MetUM. Part I: Description and idealized simulations
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Background‐error covariances for a convective‐scale data‐assimilation system: AROME–France 3D‐Var
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Ensemble predictability of an isolated mountain thunderstorm in a high‐resolution model
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Radiative transfer over resolved topographic features for high‐resolution weather prediction
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Variational assimilation of cloud fraction in the operational Met Office Unified Model
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A lightning forecast for the London 2012 Olympics opening ceremony
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Formulation and evaluation of a scale decomposition-based stochastic precipitation nowcast scheme
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The U.K. Meteorological Office Mesoscale Model
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A comprehensive meteorological modeling system?RAMS
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An efficient non-hydrostatic forecast model
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The Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS), storm-scale numerical weather prediction and data assimilation
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Uncertainties in COSMO-DE precipitation forecasts introduced by model perturbations and variation of lateral boundaries
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A new intensity‐scale approach for the verification of spatial precipitation forecasts
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Probabilistic precipitation forecasts from a deterministic model: a pragmatic approach
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A latent heat nudging scheme for the assimilation of precipitation data into an operational mesoscale model
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Nimrod: a system for generating automated very short range forecasts
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High-resolution wind and temperature observations from aircraft tracked by Mode-S air traffic control radar
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2258openalex-snapshot
Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00470.xopenalex-snapshot
Role of convective parameterization in simulations of a convection band at grey-zone resolutions
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The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion
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A Numerical Investigation of Several Factors Contributing to the Observed Variable Intensity of Deep Convection over South Florida
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Spatial Variability of Surface Radiation Fluxes in Mountainous Terrain
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Interaction of a Cumulus Cloud Ensemble with the Large-Scale Environment, Part I
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A Three-Dimensional Numerical Model of an Isolated Deep Convective Cloud: Preliminary Results
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The Simulation of Three-Dimensional Convective Storm Dynamics
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Numerical Prediction of Convectively Driven Mesoscale Pressure Systems. Part I: Convective Parameterization
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A Three-Dimensional Numerical Model of the Sea Breezes Over South Florida
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Development of Hydrodynamic Models Suitable for Air Pollution and Other Mesometerological Studies
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A Mass Flux Convection Scheme with Representation of Cloud Ensemble Characteristics and Stability-Dependent Closure
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Mesoscale Model Experimental Forecasts of the Haar of Northeast Scotland
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1993)121<1417:anioti>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
A Numerical Investigation of Tropical Island Thunderstorms
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Data Assimilation Using Incremental Analysis Updates
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The Impact of MOPS Moisture Data in the U.K. Meteorological Office Mesoscale Data Assimilation Scheme
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Understanding Hector: The Dynamics of Island Thunderstorms
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<2394:rrftso>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Resolution Requirements for the Simulation of Deep Moist Convection
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<0530:eroshi>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Explicit Representation of Subgrid Heterogeneity in a GCM Land Surface Scheme
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2007mwr2123.1openalex-snapshot
Scale-Selective Verification of Rainfall Accumulations from High-Resolution Forecasts of Convective Events
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2007waf2007005.1openalex-snapshot
Experiences with 0–36-h Explicit Convective Forecasts with the WRF-ARW Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2008mwr2332.1openalex-snapshot
Characteristics of High-Resolution Versions of the Met Office Unified Model for Forecasting Convection over the United Kingdom
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SAL—A Novel Quality Measure for the Verification of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts
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Impact of Data Assimilation on Forecasting Convection over the United Kingdom Using a High-Resolution Version of the Met Office Unified Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009bams2795.1openalex-snapshot
Convective-Scale Warn-on-Forecast System
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009mwr2750.1openalex-snapshot
Cloud and Precipitation Parameterization in a Meso-Gamma-Scale Operational Weather Prediction Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009mwr2924.1openalex-snapshot
Next-Day Convection-Allowing WRF Model Guidance: A Second Look at 2-km versus 4-km Grid Spacing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009waf2222241.1openalex-snapshot
The Method for Object-Based Diagnostic Evaluation (MODE) Applied to Numerical Forecasts from the 2005 NSSL/SPC Spring Program
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A Displacement and Amplitude Score Employing an Optical Flow Technique
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009waf2222251.1openalex-snapshot
Neighborhood Verification: A Strategy for Rewarding Close Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009waf2222267.1openalex-snapshot
Toward Improved Convection-Allowing Ensembles: Model Physics Sensitivities and Optimizing Probabilistic Guidance with Small Ensemble Membership
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2010bams2819.1openalex-snapshot
Verifying Forecasts Spatially
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2010mwr3425.1openalex-snapshot
The AROME-France Convective-Scale Operational Model
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2010mwr3624.1openalex-snapshot
Probabilistic Precipitation Forecast Skill as a Function of Ensemble Size and Spatial Scale in a Convection-Allowing Ensemble
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2010waf2222404.1openalex-snapshot
Neighborhood-Based Verification of Precipitation Forecasts from Convection-Allowing NCAR WRF Model Simulations and the Operational NAM
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Improving Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts in the Warm Season: A USWRP Research and Development Strategy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-11-00263.1openalex-snapshot
Use of NWP for Nowcasting Convective Precipitation: Recent Progress and Challenges
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Forecasting Capabilities for the London 2012 Olympics
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A Unified Model for Moist Convective Boundary Layers Based on a Stochastic Eddy-Diffusivity/Mass-Flux Parameterization
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A Unified Representation of Deep Moist Convection in Numerical Modeling of the Atmosphere. Part I
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High-Resolution Simulation of Shallow-to-Deep Convection Transition over Land
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Realism of Rainfall in a Very High-Resolution Regional Climate Model
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Operational Convective-Scale Numerical Weather Prediction with the COSMO Model: Description and Sensitivities
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Sensitivities of a Squall Line over Central Europe in a Convective-Scale Ensemble
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-12-00031.1openalex-snapshot
Impact of Stochastic Physics in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble
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Mismatching Perturbations at the Lateral Boundaries in Limited-Area Ensemble Forecasting: A Case Study
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Convection-Permitting Forecasts Initialized with Continuously Cycling Limited-Area 3DVAR, Ensemble Kalman Filter, and “Hybrid” Variational–Ensemble Data Assimilation Systems
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Evaluating Mesoscale NWP Models Using Kinetic Energy Spectra
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A Grid- and Subgrid-Scale Radiation Parameterization of Topographic Effects for Mesoscale Weather Forecast Models
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The Operational JMA Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model
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Probabilistic Forecast Guidance for Severe Thunderstorms Based on the Identification of Extreme Phenomena in Convection-Allowing Model Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-11-00088.1openalex-snapshot
Assimilation of High-Resolution Mode-S Wind and Temperature Observations in a Regional NWP Model for Nowcasting Applications
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Some Practical Considerations Regarding Horizontal Resolution in the First Generation of Operational Convection-Allowing NWP
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STEPS: A probabilistic precipitation forecasting scheme which merges an extrapolation nowcast with downscaled NWP
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A new dynamical core for the Met Office's global and regional modelling of the atmosphere
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Consistent approximate models of the global atmosphere: shallow, deep, hydrostatic, quasi‐hydrostatic and non‐hydrostatic
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A pre‐operational variational data assimilation system for a non‐hydrostatic model at the Japan Meteorological Agency: formulation and preliminary results
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The Meteorological Office analysis correction data assimilation scheme
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Weather Prediction by Numerical Process
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Weather Prediction by Numerical Process.
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Spatial-temporal fractions verification for high-resolution ensemble forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-21-19-2014openalex-snapshot
Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble prediction system

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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A Cosine Analysis Constraint Scheme for Initial Perturbations in a Convective-Scale Ensemble Prediction System
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Performance of 4D‐Var NWP ‐based nowcasting of precipitation at the Met Office for summer 2012
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The Met Office convective‐scale ensemble, MOGREPS‐UK
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Performance of Met Office hourly cycling NWP ‐based nowcasting for precipitation forecasts
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All‐sky satellite data assimilation at operational weather forecasting centres
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Comparison of 3D‐V ar and 4D‐V ar data assimilation in an NWP ‐based system for precipitation nowcasting at the Met Office
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Statistics of convective cloud turbulence from a comprehensive turbulence retrieval method for radar observations
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Convective initiation and storm life cycles in convection‐permitting simulations of the Met Office Unified Model over South Africa
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Impact of high‐resolution ocean–atmosphere coupling on fog formation over the North Sea
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Bulk and structural convergence at convection‐resolving scales in real‐case simulations of summertime moist convection over land
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The impact of spin‐up and resolution on the representation of a clear convective boundary layer over London in order 100 m grid‐length versions of the Met Office Unified Model
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The added value of convection‐permitting ensemble forecasts of sea breeze compared to a Bayesian forecast driven by the global ensemble
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A simple ensemble approach for more robust process‐based sensitivity analysis of case studies in convection‐permitting models
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Relative contribution of soil moisture, boundary‐layer and microphysical perturbations on convective predictability in different weather regimes
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Downstream influence of mesoscale convective systems. Part 2: Influence on ensemble forecast skill and spread
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Modifications to the representation of subgrid mixing in kilometre‐scale versions of the Unified Model
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Techniques and challenges in the assimilation of atmospheric water observations for numerical weather prediction towards convective scales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3726openalex-snapshot
On the sensitivity of deep‐convection initiation to horizontal grid resolution
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3788openalex-snapshot
Cold‐pool‐driven convective initiation: using causal graph analysis to determine what convection‐permitting models are missing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3793openalex-snapshot
The potential use of operational radar network data to evaluate the representation of convective storms in NWP models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3911openalex-snapshot
How grid‐spacing and convection representation affected the wind speed forecasts of four polar lows
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3921openalex-snapshot
Convection‐permitting modelling improves simulated precipitation over the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3957openalex-snapshot
Assimilation of radar reflectivity volumes in a pre‐operational framework
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3988openalex-snapshot
Assessment of convection‐permitting versions of the Unified Model over the Lake Victoria basin region
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4032openalex-snapshot
A cold pool perturbation scheme to improve convective initiation in convection‐permitting models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4049openalex-snapshot
Elucidating the causes of errors in 2.2 km Met Office Unified Model simulations of a convective case over the US Great Plains
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4111openalex-snapshot
Evaluation of synthetic satellite images computed from radiative transfer models over a region of South America using WRF and GOES‐13/16 observations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4209openalex-snapshot
Two‐fluid single‐column modelling of Rayleigh–Bénard convection as a step towards multi‐fluid modelling of atmospheric convection
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4239openalex-snapshot
Sensitivity analysis of the convective‐scale AROME model to physical and dynamical parameters
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4281openalex-snapshot
Influence of grid resolution of large‐eddy simulations on foehn‐cold pool interaction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4322openalex-snapshot
A stochastic and non‐linear representation of model uncertainty in a convective‐scale ensemble prediction system
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4325openalex-snapshot
Sensitivity of cloud‐radiative effects to cloud fraction parametrizations in tropical, midlatitude, and arctic kilometre‐scale simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4428openalex-snapshot
SPHERA , a new convection‐permitting regional reanalysis over Italy: Improving the description of heavy rainfall
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4574openalex-snapshot
Physically based stochastic perturbations improve a high‐resolution forecast of convection
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4713openalex-snapshot
Flow‐ and scale‐dependent spatial predictability of convective precipitation combining different model uncertainty representations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4794openalex-snapshot
The performance of a variable‐resolution 300‐m ensemble for forecasting convection over London
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4817openalex-snapshot
Grey‐zone simulations of shallow‐to‐deep convection transition using dynamic subgrid‐scale turbulence models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4858openalex-snapshot
The hectometric modelling challenge: Gaps in the current state of the art and ways forward towards the implementation of 100‐m scale weather and climate models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4860openalex-snapshot
Flow dependence of forecast uncertainty in a large convection‐permitting ensemble
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4933openalex-snapshot
On methods for assessment of the value of observations in convection‐permitting data assimilation and numerical weather forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4966openalex-snapshot
Understanding heavy precipitation prediction bias in the Sichuan Basin based on the China Meteorological Administration operational mesoscale model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70129openalex-snapshot
Performance evaluation of regional weather predictions with the Model for Prediction Across Scales – Atmosphere ( MPAS ‐A) over the Maritime Continent
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70202openalex-snapshot
RISE ‐net: A deep‐learning model for improving fine‐scale summer precipitation nowcasting in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/qj.70237openalex-snapshot
New insights into convection‐permitting model simulations from a ZDR diagnostic for raindrops
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1302openalex-snapshot
Pluvial flood risk and opportunities for resilience
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1517openalex-snapshot
Operational and emerging capabilities for surface water flood forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1519openalex-snapshot
Updating intensity–duration–frequency curves for urban infrastructure design under a changing environment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1718openalex-snapshot
Forecasting bathing water quality in the UK : A critical review
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.731openalex-snapshot
Convection ‐permitting modeling with regional climate models: Latest developments and next steps
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/wea.4497openalex-snapshot
The history of UK weather forecasting: the changing role of the central guidance forecaster. Part 8. Operational forecasting in the twenty‐first century: enhanced capabilities from nowcasting to extended range
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-35798-6_9openalex-snapshot
Global-Scale Evaluation of 22 Precipitation Datasets Using Gauge Observations and Hydrological Modeling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-58269-1_4openalex-snapshot
Meteorological Forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-026-04026-8openalex-snapshot
Evaluation of Convection Permitting Rainfall Forecast Over South Peninsular India During Northeast Monsoon Season
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-020-9262-zopenalex-snapshot
Model Uncertainty Representation for a Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction System Based on CNOP-P
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-025-4422-9openalex-snapshot
Evaluation of WRF-based Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts for an Extreme Rainfall Event in East China during the Mei-yu Season
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-026-5756-7openalex-snapshot
Storm-Resolving Earth: How Well Do Global Kilometer-scale Models Simulate Storms in East Asia’s 2020 Record-breaking Wet Summer?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4096-4openalex-snapshot
Projected changes in extreme precipitation over Scotland and Northern England using a high-resolution regional climate model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4114-6openalex-snapshot
Pan-European climate at convection-permitting scale: a model intercomparison study
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05466-1openalex-snapshot
Kilometer-scale modeling projects a tripling of Alaskan convective storms in future climate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05637-8openalex-snapshot
Synoptic forcing associated with extreme precipitation events over Southeastern South America as depicted by a CORDEX FPS set of convection-permitting RCMs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05716-wopenalex-snapshot
Multi-decadal convection-permitting climate projections for China’s Greater Bay Area and surroundings
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05854-1openalex-snapshot
Differences in representation of extreme precipitation events in two high resolution models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06144-0openalex-snapshot
Contrasting contributions of surface hydrological pathways in convection permitting and parameterised climate simulations over Africa and their feedbacks on the atmosphere
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06233-0openalex-snapshot
On the role of atmospheric simulations horizontal grid spacing for flood modeling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06336-8openalex-snapshot
Retrospective sub-seasonal forecasts of extreme precipitation events in the Arabian Peninsula using convective-permitting modeling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06541-5openalex-snapshot
Representation of precipitation and top-of-atmosphere radiation in a multi-model convection-permitting ensemble for the Lake Victoria Basin (East-Africa)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06543-3openalex-snapshot
Towards Ensemble-Based Kilometer-Scale Climate Simulations over the Third Pole Region
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06809-4openalex-snapshot
Effects of large-scale constraint and constraint variables on the high-frequency assimilation of radar reflectivity data in convective precipitation forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07296-xopenalex-snapshot
Additional insights from convection-permitting scale ensembles in simulating spatiotemporal features of precipitation across the complex terrain of Peninsular India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07386-wopenalex-snapshot
Kilometer-scale multi-physics simulations of heavy precipitation events in Northeast China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07912-4openalex-snapshot
Physically-based transposition of a mesoscale convective system for estimating probable maximum precipitation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08102-6openalex-snapshot
Mesoscale Convective Systems in Northeastern North America: identification and evaluation with the convection-permitting version of the Canadian Regional Climate Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-026-08211-2openalex-snapshot
Biases in simulating Amazon moisture transport: a convection-permitting versus regional climate model intercomparison
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03791-xopenalex-snapshot
The significance of monitoring high mountain environments to detect heavy precipitation hotspots: a case study in Gredos, Central Spain
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-025-04079-zopenalex-snapshot
Bias correction of precipitation from convection-permitting models at the point scale: a case study in Switzerland
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-04047-zopenalex-snapshot
Surface wind gust prediction over Incheon international airport using the unified model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-04964-7openalex-snapshot
Assessment of WRF numerical model forecasts using different lead time initializations during extreme precipitation events over Macaé city, Rio de Janeiro (Brazil)
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-026-08430-0openalex-snapshot
Multiscale diagnosis of extreme precipitation over complex terrain in the western part of northern Xinjiang by integrating weather typing and dynamical downscaling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-022-9968-4openalex-snapshot
Regional climate dynamical downscaling over the Tibetan Plateau—From quarter-degree to kilometer-scale
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-021-01556-8openalex-snapshot
A multi-physics ensemble approach for short-term precipitation forecasts at convective permitting scales based on sensitivity experiments over southern parts of peninsular India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-026-02835-yopenalex-snapshot
Structural similarity and mutual information-based evaluation of radiative call frequency in WRF: insights from the 2024 Wayanad rainfall
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-018-0003-5openalex-snapshot
High-Resolution Wind Simulation over Incheon International Airport with the Unified Model’s Rose Nesting Suite from KMA Operational Forecasts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-026-00441-yopenalex-snapshot
Clustering of Convective Heavy Rainfall Types on the Korean Peninsula and Analysis of Atmospheric Environment and Rainfall Characteristics by Cluster
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-023-2161-3openalex-snapshot
Convection Initiation of a Heavy Rainfall Event in the Coastal Metropolitan Region of Shanghai on the South Side of the Meiyu Front
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-025-4172-8openalex-snapshot
Impacts of the Initial Perturbation Scale and Magnitude on Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts over Eastern China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-022-01468-6openalex-snapshot
Impact of initial conditions on modelling extreme precipitation: case of November 29–30, 2010 floods over Morocco
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-020-03645-7openalex-snapshot
An assessment of a very severe cyclonic storm in the Arabian sea using the COSMO model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-819766-0.00009-2openalex-snapshot
Aerosol–climate modeling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-822973-6.00024-xopenalex-snapshot
Direct assimilation of radar reflectivity volumes in COSMO–LETKF
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-323-96026-7.00194-6openalex-snapshot
Convection-Permitting Climate Models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.02.017openalex-snapshot
Evaluation of wintertime precipitation forecasts over the Australian Snowy Mountains
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.12.008openalex-snapshot
Effect of hydrometeor species on very-short-range simulations of precipitation using ERA5
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.03.019openalex-snapshot
Sub-daily temporal reconstruction of extreme precipitation events using NWP model simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104741openalex-snapshot
A study of ensemble-sensitivity-based initial condition perturbation methods for convection-permitting ensemble forecasts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106143openalex-snapshot
Performance of HAILCAST and the Lightning Potential Index in simulating hailstorms in Croatia in a mesoscale model – Sensitivity to the PBL and microphysics parameterization schemes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106458openalex-snapshot
The added value of high-resolution downscaling of the ECMWF-EPS for extreme precipitation forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106599openalex-snapshot
Convection-permitting ensemble forecasts of a double-rainbelt event in South China during the pre-summer rainy season
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.107202openalex-snapshot
Impacts of an upper tropospheric cold low on the extreme precipitation in Henan Province, China in July 2021
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107318openalex-snapshot
Assimilation of the deep learning-corrected global forecast system fields into the regional model for improving medium-range persistent precipitation forecasts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107678openalex-snapshot
A feasibility study of the cosine analysis constraint method for optimizing initial perturbations of convective-scale ensemble prediction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107809openalex-snapshot
Evaluating the ALADIN-climate model reanalysis over Central Europe
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.108402openalex-snapshot
Added value of a multi-model ensemble of convection-permitting rainfall reanalyses over Italy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2026.108827openalex-snapshot
Intercomparison and sensitivity analysis of WRF parameterization schemes for convection-permitting modeling of precipitation distribution along the Yarlung Zangbo River
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2026.109229openalex-snapshot
Improving forecast skill of a convective storm using ICON hectometric-scale ensembles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2026.109278openalex-snapshot
Precipitation science: State-of-the-Art in measurement, estimation, and modeling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2022.100412openalex-snapshot
Consequence forecasting: A rational framework for predicting the consequences of approaching storms
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2021.101242openalex-snapshot
Operational convective-scale data assimilation over Iran: A comparison between WRF and HARMONIE-AROME
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103914openalex-snapshot
A multiscale dynamic network-based method for radar precipitation nowcasting: A case study in the Yiluo River Basin
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.future.2016.09.014openalex-snapshot
A robust reliable energy-aware urgent computing resource allocation for flash-flood ensemble forecasting on HPC infrastructures for decision support
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.future.2016.11.015openalex-snapshot
Reprint of “A robust reliable energy-aware urgent computing resource allocation for flash-flood ensemble forecasting on HPC infrastructures for decision support”
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2025.106643openalex-snapshot
Raindrop size distribution in stratiform precipitation: Insights from spectral bin simulations over the high-altitude cloud physics observatory, Western Ghats
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.123966openalex-snapshot
Towards operational joint river flow and precipitation ensemble verification: considerations and strategies given limited ensemble records
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129097openalex-snapshot
On the application of rainfall projections from a convection-permitting climate model to lumped catchment models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133048openalex-snapshot
An agent-based modeling of rescue operations for the evaluation of short-range flash flood forecasts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133607openalex-snapshot
Future precipitation extremes and urban flood risk assessment using a non-stationary and convection-permitting climate-hydrodynamic modeling framework
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100798openalex-snapshot
Orographic and land-sea contrast effects in convection-permitting simulations of extreme sub-daily precipitation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2026.100936openalex-snapshot
Super-scaling of wind gusts with thermal downdrafts in cloud-resolving simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018ea000491openalex-snapshot
Assessment of the Representation of West African Storm Lifecycles in Convection‐Permitting Simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl081702openalex-snapshot
How Well Does an FV3‐Based Model Predict Precipitation at a Convection‐Allowing Resolution? Results From CAPS Forecasts for the 2018 NOAA Hazardous Weather Test Bed With Different Physics Combinations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018ms001375openalex-snapshot
Representation of Model Error in Convective‐Scale Data Assimilation: Additive Noise, Relaxation Methods, and Combinations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018ms001418openalex-snapshot
One Step at a Time: How Model Time Step Significantly Affects Convection‐Permitting Simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2018ms001542openalex-snapshot
Explicit Prediction of Continental Convection in a Skillful Variable‐Resolution Global Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001847openalex-snapshot
Barotropic Instability of a Cyclone Core at Kilometer‐Scale Resolution
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl092361openalex-snapshot
Quasi‐Stationary Intense Rainstorms Spread Across Europe Under Climate Change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020jd033084openalex-snapshot
Impact of Different Nesting Methods on the Simulation of a Severe Convective Event Over South Korea Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020jd034287openalex-snapshot
U.S. Extreme Precipitation Weather Types Increased in Frequency During the 20th Century
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2020rg000704openalex-snapshot
Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2021gl095602openalex-snapshot
Sub‐Seasonal Predictability of North American Monsoon Precipitation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2021gl096075openalex-snapshot
What Determines the Number and the Timing of Pulses in Afternoon Precipitation in the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon) Observations?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2021jd034788openalex-snapshot
Added Value of a Convection Permitting Model in Simulating Atmospheric Water Cycle Over the Asian Water Tower
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2021ms002586openalex-snapshot
Representations of Precipitation Diurnal Cycle in the Amazon as Simulated by Observationally Constrained Cloud‐System Resolving and Global Climate Models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2021ms002808openalex-snapshot
A Machine‐Learning‐Assisted Stochastic Cloud Population Model as a Parameterization of Cumulus Convection
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022ea002295openalex-snapshot
Towards a Unified Setup to Simulate Mid‐Latitude and Tropical Mesoscale Convective Systems at Kilometer‐Scales
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl100717openalex-snapshot
Impact of Higher Spatial Resolution on Precipitation Properties Over Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2022ms003418openalex-snapshot
Confronting the Convective Gray Zone in the Global Configuration of the Met Office Unified Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl104672openalex-snapshot
Impact of Domain Size on Tropical Precipitation Within Explicit Convection Simulations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023gl106676openalex-snapshot
Coupling Physical Factors for Precipitation Forecast in China With Graph Neural Network
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023jd039011openalex-snapshot
A Structured Graph Neural Network for Improving the Numerical Weather Prediction of Rainfall
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2023ms003871openalex-snapshot
A Novel Localized Fast Multipole Method for Computations With Spatially Correlated Observation Error Statistics in Data Assimilation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024jd040822openalex-snapshot
Synoptic and Mesoscale Dynamics of Cold Surges Over the South China Sea and Their Control on Extreme Rainfall
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024jd041180openalex-snapshot
Modeling Across Scales of Heavy Precipitation With a Global Variable‐Resolution Model: A Case Study of a Catastrophic Event in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024jd042530openalex-snapshot
Resolving Mesoscale Convective Systems: Grid Spacing Sensitivity in the Tropics and Midlatitudes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024jd042773openalex-snapshot
Precipitation Over Complex Mountain Terrain in a Convection‐Permitting Regional Climate Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004796openalex-snapshot
Postprocessing East African Rainfall Forecasts Using a Generative Machine Learning Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2024ms004840openalex-snapshot
Extreme Precipitation Depiction in Convection‐Permitting Earth System Models Within the nextGEMS Project
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2025jd044820openalex-snapshot
Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Systems Over East Asian Monsoon Region Simulated by a Convection‐Permitting Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1029/2026jd047076openalex-snapshot
Excessive Convective Precipitation Formation Caused by Warm‐Phase Bulk Microphysical Scheme Biases: A Multi‐Platform Observational Diagnosis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6openalex-snapshot
Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00409-6openalex-snapshot
The conterminous United States are projected to become more prone to flash floods in a high-end emissions scenario
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02460-5openalex-snapshot
Extreme event attribution using km-scale simulations reveals the pronounced role of climate change in the Durban floods
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1063/5.0264655openalex-snapshot
Comparison of SVM and artificial neural network in rainfall prediction for improved accuracy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/es21013openalex-snapshot
APS2-ACCESS-C2: the first Australian operational NWP convection-permitting model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/es25038openalex-snapshot
ACCESS-A: developing convective-scale numerical weather prediction (NWP) for the Australian continent
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/es25068openalex-snapshot
AUS2200: a high-resolution limited-area modelling project for Australia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1071/wf20059openalex-snapshot
Objective identification of thunderstorm gust fronts in numerical weather prediction models for fire weather forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2025.2490780openalex-snapshot
Rainfall nowcasting models: state of the art and possible future perspectives
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094024openalex-snapshot
The characteristics of summer sub-hourly rainfall over the southern UK in a high-resolution convective permitting model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1edaopenalex-snapshot
Detectability of COVID-19 global emissions reductions in local CO2 concentration measurements
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2015.0218openalex-snapshot
Numerical simulations of the impact of the 20 March 2015 eclipse on UK weather
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2019.0546openalex-snapshot
Sensitivity of organized convective storms to model grid spacing in current and future climates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2019.0547openalex-snapshot
Challenges and outlook for convection-permitting climate modelling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2024.0289openalex-snapshot
Convection-permitting models for managing hydrological extremes: practical, innovative examples
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/tgrs.2020.2984594openalex-snapshot
Nowcasting of Convective Rainfall Using Volumetric Radar Observations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/tgrs.2022.3159530openalex-snapshot
Inductive Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Networks for Short-Term Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1109/tgrs.2024.3355755openalex-snapshot
Advancing Realistic Precipitation Nowcasting With a Spatiotemporal Transformer-Based Denoising Diffusion Model
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/exsy.70199openalex-snapshot
FusionFormer : A Multi‐Source Data Fusion Transformer for Precipitation Nowcasting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12691openalex-snapshot
Enhanced surface water flood forecasts: User‐led development and testing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00693-5openalex-snapshot
Precipitation forecast in China based on reservoir computing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1145/3498333openalex-snapshot
RSDF-AM-LSTM: Regional Scale Division Rainfall Forecasting Using Attention and LSTM
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-012320-083623openalex-snapshot
Urban Climates and Climate Change
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