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A Cosine Analysis Constraint Scheme for Initial Perturbations in a Convective-Scale Ensemble Prediction System

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4632147
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Estimation of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score with Limited Information and Applications to Ensemble Weather Forecasts
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Predictability and skill of convection-permitting ensemble forecast systems in predicting the record-breaking “21·7” extreme rainfall event in Henan Province, China
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Convection Initiation of a Heavy Rainfall Event in the Coastal Metropolitan Region of Shanghai on the South Side of the Meiyu Front
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Verification of precipitation in weather systems: determination of systematic errors
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Accounting for initial condition uncertainties in COSMO‐DE‐EPS
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Perturbing Topography in a Convection‐Allowing Ensemble Prediction System for Heavy Rain Forecasts
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A Customized Multi‐Scale Deep Learning Framework for Storm Nowcasting
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Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated‐k model for the longwave
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Uncertainty of Initial State as a Factor in the Predictability of Large Scale Atmospheric Flow Patterns
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Decomposition of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score for Ensemble Prediction Systems
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The Influence of Atmospheric Stability on Potential Evaporation
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Numerical Study of Convection Observed during the Winter Monsoon Experiment Using a Mesoscale Two-Dimensional Model
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Singular-Vector Perturbation Growth in a Primitive Equation Model with Moist Physics
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Effects of Moist Convection on Mesoscale Predictability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2004)061<1794:mpombw>2.0.co;2openalex-extracted
Mesoscale Predictability of Moist Baroclinic Waves: Experiments with Parameterized Convection
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Theoretical Skill of Monte Carlo Forecasts
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Nonlocal Boundary Layer Vertical Diffusion in a Medium-Range Forecast Model
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Ensemble Forecasting at NCEP and the Breeding Method
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A Strategy for Verification of Weather Element Forecasts from an Ensemble Prediction System
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Predictability and Error Growth Dynamics in Cloud-Resolving Models
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Scale-Selective Verification of Rainfall Accumulations from High-Resolution Forecasts of Convective Events
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Model Uncertainty in a Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System: Stochastic versus Multiphysics Representations
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Practical and Intrinsic Predictability of Severe and Convective Weather at the Mesoscales
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Mesoscale Predictability of Moist Baroclinic Waves: Convection-Permitting Experiments and Multistage Error Growth Dynamics
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MOGREPS-UK Convection-Permitting Ensemble Products for Surface Water Flood Forecasting: Rationale and First Results
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Mismatching Perturbations at the Lateral Boundaries in Limited-Area Ensemble Forecasting: A Case Study
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A New Method for Generating Initial Condition Perturbations in a Regional Ensemble Prediction System: Blending
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Representing Forecast Error in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble System
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A Study of Multiscale Initial Condition Perturbation Methods for Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts
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Interactions between Physics Diversity and Multiscale Initial Condition Perturbations for Storm-Scale Ensemble Forecasting
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Impact of Assimilating Wind Profiling Radar Observations on Convection-Permitting Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts during SCMREX
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A Comparison between 2D and 3D Rescaling Masks of Initial Condition Perturbation in a 3-km Storm-Scale Ensemble Prediction System
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Areas beneath the relative operating characteristics (ROC) and relative operating levels (ROL) curves: Statistical significance and interpretation
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The parametrization of surface fluxes in large-scale models under free convection
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Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts of a Double Rainbelt Event in South China During the Pre-Summer Rainy Season
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4184420openalex-extracted
Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts of a Double Rainbelt Event in South China During the Pre-Summer Rainy Season
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Understanding the Predictability within Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts in East China: Meteorological Sensitivity, Forecast Error Growth and Associated Precipitation Uncertainties Across Spatial Scales
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.46267/j.1006-8775.2023.010openalex-extracted
Forecast Error and Predictability for the Warm-sector and the Frontal Rainstorm in South China
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2016.00049openalex-extracted
Development Mechanism of Multi-scale Perturbation Based on Different Perturbation Methods in convection-allowing ensemble prediction
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