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Detecting Climate Signals Using Explainable AI With Single‐Forcing Large Ensembles

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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Drivers of decadal hiatus periods in the 20th and 21st centuries
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Quantifying components of aerosol-cloud-radiation interactions in climate models
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An ensemble of ocean reanalyses for 1815–2013 with sparse observational input
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Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: Improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system
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The ERA5 global reanalysis
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The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
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The impact of natural versus anthropogenic aerosols on atmospheric circulation in the Community Atmosphere Model
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Methods for interpreting and understanding deep neural networks
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Fast sparse regression and classification
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Explaining nonlinear classification decisions with deep Taylor decomposition
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Fuzzy sets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/s0377-2217(03)00002-xopenalex-snapshot
Fuzzy classification systems
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781107415324openalex-snapshot
Climate Change 2013 – The Physical Science Basis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2012gl053952openalex-snapshot
Emerging local warming signals in observational data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl078841openalex-snapshot
No Impact of Anthropogenic Aerosols on Early 21st Century Global Temperature Trends in a Large Initial‐Condition Ensemble
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019av000128openalex-snapshot
Aerosol Forcing: Still Uncertain, Still Relevant
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019eo135235openalex-snapshot
Thoughtfully Using Artificial Intelligence in Earth Science
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl084944openalex-snapshot
Viewing Forced Climate Patterns Through an AI Lens
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019gl085806openalex-snapshot
Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001628openalex-snapshot
Ensembles of Global Climate Model Variants Designed for the Quantification and Constraint of Uncertainty in Aerosols and Their Radiative Forcing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001639openalex-snapshot
The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms001978openalex-snapshot
Historical (1850–2014) Aerosol Evolution and Role on Climate Forcing Using the GISS ModelE2.1 Contribution to CMIP6
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019ms002002openalex-snapshot
Physically Interpretable Neural Networks for the Geosciences: Applications to Earth System Variability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019rg000660openalex-snapshot
Bounding Global Aerosol Radiative Forcing of Climate Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2019rg000678openalex-snapshot
An Assessment of Earth's Climate Sensitivity Using Multiple Lines of Evidence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ef001610openalex-snapshot
The Value of Initial Condition Large Ensembles to Robust Adaptation Decision‐Making
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ef001854openalex-snapshot
“Certain Uncertainty: The Role of Internal Climate Variability in Projections of Regional Climate Change and Risk Management”
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl088166openalex-snapshot
Aerosol‐Forced AMOC Changes in CMIP6 Historical Simulations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl088376openalex-snapshot
Data‐Driven Equation Discovery of Ocean Mesoscale Closures
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl089504openalex-snapshot
Quantifying Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Since 1870
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl089919openalex-snapshot
Dynamics of Southern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation Response to Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020gl090778openalex-snapshot
Aerosol Forcing Masks and Delays the Formation of the North Atlantic Warming Hole by Three Decades
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ms002109openalex-snapshot
Improving Data‐Driven Global Weather Prediction Using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks on a Cubed Sphere
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ms002195openalex-snapshot
Indicator Patterns of Forced Change Learned by an Artificial Neural Network
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ms002203openalex-snapshot
WeatherBench: A Benchmark Data Set for Data‐Driven Weather Forecasting
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-00177-3openalex-snapshot
Emissions – the ‘business as usual’ story is misleading
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature22315openalex-snapshot
Reconciling controversies about the ‘global warming hiatus’
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1716openalex-snapshot
Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2196openalex-snapshot
Land management and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surface temperature
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3058openalex-snapshot
Role of volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols in the recent global surface warming slowdown
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15285-xopenalex-snapshot
Identifying a human signal in the North Atlantic warming hole
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19160-7openalex-snapshot
The misuse of colour in science communication
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0666-7openalex-snapshot
Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2openalex-snapshot
Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0819-8openalex-snapshot
Multiple drivers of the North Atlantic warming hole
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0821-1openalex-snapshot
Human influence on joint changes in temperature, rainfall and continental aridity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-00669-xopenalex-snapshot
Atlantic and Pacific tropics connected by mutually interactive decadal-timescale processes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-020-0582-5openalex-snapshot
Artificial intelligence reconstructs missing climate information
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1149-8openalex-snapshot
Twentieth-century hydroclimate changes consistent with human influence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2649-2openalex-snapshot
Array programming with NumPy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41592-019-0686-2openalex-snapshot
SciPy 1.0: fundamental algorithms for scientific computing in Python
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-00148-5openalex-snapshot
Predicting global patterns of long-term climate change from short-term simulations using machine learning
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1810286115openalex-snapshot
Deep learning to represent subgrid processes in climate models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1904586116openalex-snapshot
Quantifying stochastic uncertainty in detection time of human-caused climate signals
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4e55openalex-snapshot
Machine learning and artificial intelligence to aid climate change research and preparedness
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7d02openalex-snapshot
Quantifying the role of internal variability in the temperature we expect to observe in the coming decades
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab9af7openalex-snapshot
The vertical profile of recent tropical temperature trends: Persistent model biases in the context of internal variability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba20copenalex-snapshot
Effect of aerosol radiative forcing uncertainty on projected exceedance year of a 1.5 °C global temperature rise
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1109/mcse.2007.55openalex-snapshot
Matplotlib: A 2D Graphics Environment
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1109/tnnls.2016.2599820openalex-snapshot
Evaluating the Visualization of What a Deep Neural Network Has Learned
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aba1981openalex-snapshot
Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2281:dggicc>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Detecting Greenhouse-Gas-Induced Climate Change with an Optimal Fingerprint Method
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<0249:ldotcc>2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
Discriminants of Twentieth-Century Changes in Earth Surface Temperatures
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009bams2607.1openalex-snapshot
The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3361.1openalex-snapshot
Challenges in Combining Projections from Multiple Climate Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/2010jcli3772.1openalex-snapshot
Stratospheric Ozone Depletion: The Main Driver of Twentieth-Century Atmospheric Circulation Changes in the Southern Hemisphere
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-12-00121.1openalex-snapshot
The Community Earth System Model: A Framework for Collaborative Research
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-13-00255.1openalex-snapshot
The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-14-00154.1openalex-snapshot
Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-16-0007.1openalex-snapshot
Estimating Changes in Global Temperature since the Preindustrial Period
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-18-0195.1openalex-snapshot
Making the Black Box More Transparent: Understanding the Physical Implications of Machine Learning
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0027.1openalex-snapshot
Toward an Inventory of the Impacts of Human-Induced Climate Change
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0031.1openalex-snapshot
Outlook for Exploiting Artificial Intelligence in the Earth and Environmental Sciences
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0304.1openalex-snapshot
Forced and Internal Components of Winter Air Temperature Trends over North America during the past 50 Years: Mechanisms and Implications*
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Toward a New Estimate of “Time of Emergence” of Anthropogenic Warming: Insights from Dynamical Adjustment and a Large Initial-Condition Model Ensemble
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0369.1openalex-snapshot
Comments on “Rethinking the Lower Bound on Aerosol Radiative Forcing”
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0901.1openalex-snapshot
Internal Variability and Regional Climate Trends in an Observational Large Ensemble
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0555.1openalex-snapshot
A Limited Role for Unforced Internal Variability in Twentieth-Century Warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0882.1openalex-snapshot
Uncovering the Forced Climate Response from a Single Ensemble Member Using Statistical Learning
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0195.1openalex-snapshot
Nonlinear Climate Responses to Increasing CO2 and Anthropogenic Aerosols Simulated by CESM1
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0855.1openalex-snapshot
Pattern Recognition Methods to Separate Forced Responses from Internal Variability in Climate Model Ensembles and Observations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-1009.1openalex-snapshot
Uncertainty in Observational Estimates of the Aerosol Direct Radiative Effect and Forcing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0123.1openalex-snapshot
Isolating the Evolving Contributions of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases: A New CESM1 Large Ensemble Community Resource
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0992.1openalex-snapshot
Contrasting Cloud Regimes and Associated Rainfall over the South Asian and East Asian Monsoon Regions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli3802.1openalex-snapshot
Observational Constraints on Past Attributable Warming and Predictions of Future Global Warming
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-18-0316.1openalex-snapshot
Interpretable Deep Learning for Spatial Analysis of Severe Hailstorms
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-19-0372.1openalex-snapshot
Deep Learning on Three-Dimensional Multiscale Data for Next-Hour Tornado Prediction
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0130140openalex-snapshot
On Pixel-Wise Explanations for Non-Linear Classifier Decisions by Layer-Wise Relevance Propagation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17863/cam.64134openalex-snapshot
SciPy 1.0: fundamental algorithms for scientific computing in Python
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1907187openalex-snapshot
Nonparametric Tests Against Trend
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2986801openalex-snapshot
Rank Correlation Methods.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3929/ethz-b-000451465openalex-snapshot
Separating forced and unforced components of climate change: The utility of pattern recognition methods in Large Ensembles and observations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.48350/149193openalex-snapshot
An evaluation of the performance of the 20th Century Reanalysis version 3
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1803.08375openalex-snapshot
Deep Learning using Rectified Linear Units (ReLU)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1906.06622openalex-snapshot
Achieving Conservation of Energy in Neural Network Emulators for Climate Modeling
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5065/d63n21chopenalex-snapshot
Description of the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model (CAM 3.0)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-7829-2020openalex-snapshot
On the climate sensitivity and historical warming evolution in recent coupled model ensembles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-20-9591-2020openalex-snapshot
Effective radiative forcing and adjustments in CMIP6 models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-491-2020openalex-snapshot
Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-11-885-2020openalex-snapshot
How large does a large ensemble need to be?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1243862openalex-snapshot
Scientific Colour Maps
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3970395openalex-snapshot
On Feature Relevance Uncertainty: A Monte Carlo Dropout Sampling Approach
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True Colors of Oceanography: Guidelines for Effective and Accurate Colormap Selection

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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3934/geosci.2024027openalex-snapshot
Fuzzy time series clustering using autoencoders neural network
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-2365-2025openalex-snapshot
Opinion: Why all emergent constraints are wrong but some are useful – a machine learning perspective
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1293openalex-snapshot
Improving Statistical Projections of Ocean Dynamic Sea-level Change Using Pattern Recognition Techniques
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1293-ac1openalex-snapshot
Reply on RC1
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1293-ac2openalex-snapshot
Reply on RC2
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1293-rc1openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2022-1293
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1293-rc2openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2022-1293
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2969-cc1openalex-snapshot
Cross-validation, Symbolic Regression, Pareto include
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2969-rc1openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2023-2969
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2969-rc2openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2023-2969
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2969-rc3openalex-snapshot
Comment on egusphere-2023-2969
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1636openalex-snapshot
Opinion: Why all emergent constraints are wrong but some are useful – a machine learning perspective
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-3448openalex-snapshot
Detection and attribution of climate change using a neural network.
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-81-2023openalex-snapshot
Robust global detection of forced changes in mean and extreme precipitation despite observational disagreement on the magnitude of change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-787-2025openalex-snapshot
Moving beyond post hoc explainable artificial intelligence: a perspective paper on lessons learned from dynamical climate modeling
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-151-ac1openalex-snapshot
Reply on RC1
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-151-ac2openalex-snapshot
Reply on RC2
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-151-rc1openalex-snapshot
Review of the manuscript „River flooding mechanisms and their changes in Europe revealed by explainable machine learning“
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-151-rc2openalex-snapshot
Comment on hess-2022-151
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6339-2022openalex-snapshot
River flooding mechanisms and their changes in Europe revealed by explainable machine learning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5373-2026openalex-snapshot
Learning evaporative fraction with memory
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-499-2023openalex-snapshot
Improving statistical projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change using pattern recognition techniques
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.54105/ijainn.e1104.05050825openalex-snapshot
Artificial Intelligence in Energy Research and Climate Change
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/a9663967z7a73z4314za7a5z80b18725f194openalex-snapshot
Détection et attribution du changement climatique à l’aide de réseaux de neurones
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