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Do Government Spending Multipliers Depend on the Sign of the Shock?

https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20231071
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2018.04.013openalex-snapshot
Functional Approximation of Impulse Responses
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/696277openalex-snapshot
Government Spending Multipliers in Good Times and in Bad: Evidence from US Historical Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdab029openalex-snapshot
Understanding the Size of the Government Spending Multiplier: It’s in the Sign
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.13099openalex-snapshot
Nonlinear Transmission of Financial Shocks: Some New Evidence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.3.129openalex-snapshot
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater during Periods of Slack? Evidence from Twentieth-Century Historical Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.4.2.1openalex-snapshot
Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.17016/ifdp.1997.578openalex-snapshot
Regional Labor Fluctuations: Oil Shocks, Military Spending, and Other Driving Forces
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2953702openalex-snapshot
The Effects of Military Spending on Economic Activity: Evidence from State Procurement Spending
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta17813openalex-snapshot
Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3742219openalex-extracted
Tax Multipliers Across the Business Cycle
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4603292openalex-extracted
Marginal propensities to consume with behavioural agents
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4704050openalex-extracted
Disentangling sign and size non-linearities
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4707555openalex-extracted
Nonlinearities with de-anchored inflation expectations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4971637openalex-extracted
Nonlinear dynamics of large oil supply news shocks *
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5049342openalex-extracted
Measuring the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Output in a Markov-Switching Bayesian VAR
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5412929openalex-extracted
Opening the Black Box of Local Projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/jae.3109openalex-snapshot
Identifying the Sources of the Slowdown in Growth: Demand Versus Supply
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s10368-026-00751-6openalex-snapshot
The effects of macroeconomic and budget balance shocks on public debt trajectories in the euro area
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112414openalex-snapshot
When neighbors tighten belts: Exploring austerity’s spillover effects
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2024.105702openalex-snapshot
State-dependent local projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2025.103721openalex-snapshot
What do we know about estimating government spending multipliers?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2025.103728openalex-snapshot
Fiscal multipliers, trend inflation, and endogenous price stickiness: Evidence from the U.S.
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/735256openalex-snapshot
Bankruptcy Resolution and Credit Cycles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/iere.70063openalex-snapshot
Nonlinearities With Deanchored Inflation Expectations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-091624-044646openalex-snapshot
Fiscal and Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20241355openalex-snapshot
The Price of War
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20220156openalex-snapshot
State-Dependent Government Spending Multipliers: Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity and Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1515/bejm-2024-0123openalex-snapshot
Downward Wage Rigidity at the Zero Lower Bound
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4861511openalex-snapshot
Bankruptcy Resolution and Credit Cycles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5450635openalex-snapshot
How has the Effect of Government Spending Changed? Evidence from the High-Frequency Identified Shocks Since 1947 *
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5452314openalex-snapshot
How Well Are State-Dependent Local Projections Capturing the Nonlinearity?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5520619openalex-snapshot
Are Hysteresis Effects Nonlinear?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5925643openalex-snapshot
Understanding the Effects of Government Spending Shocks: It's in the Size as Well
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6203940openalex-snapshot
Tax multipliers across the business cycle
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6509100openalex-snapshot
Long-run fiscal multipliers: a model averaging approach
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6510731openalex-snapshot
Measuring the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks on U.S. Output in a Markov-Switching Bayesian VAR
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7364078openalex-snapshot
Commodity Prices and Currency Tail Risk in Developing Countries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7499220openalex-snapshot
Commodity Prices and Currency Tail Risk in Developing Countries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.24149/wp2616openalex-snapshot
Semiparametric Local Projections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2478/hjbpa-2025-0014openalex-snapshot
Drivers of Changes in Government Expenditure: A Literature Review and Conceptual Framework
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3386/w32556openalex-snapshot
Bankruptcy Resolution and Credit Cycles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/economies13020046openalex-snapshot
Interrelationships Among Government Participation, Population and Growth of per Capita Income: Inquiry on Top Twenty Income-Holding Countries in the World
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