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Change Points in the Population Trends of Aerial-Insectivorous Birds in North America: Synchronized in Time across Species and Regions

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0130768
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Generic reversible jump MCMC using graphical models
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WinBUGS - A Bayesian modelling framework: Concepts, structure, and extensibility
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13531openalex-snapshot
Declines in insectivorous birds are associated with high neonicotinoid concentrations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2012.2207openalex-snapshot
Continent-wide tracking to determine migratory connectivity and tropical habitat associations of a declining aerial insectivore
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2014.0649openalex-snapshot
Severe recent decrease of adult body mass in a declining insectivorous bird population
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9868.00353openalex-snapshot
Bayesian Measures of Model Complexity and Fit
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8137.2007.01991.xopenalex-snapshot
Bayesian change‐point analyses in ecology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1177/030913338000400106openalex-snapshot
Synoptic and dynamic climatology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0081867openalex-snapshot
Modeling Trends from North American Breeding Bird Survey Data: A Spatially Explicit Approach
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1525/auk.2010.09220openalex-snapshot
Analysis of the North American Breeding Bird Survey Using Hierarchical Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1525/auk.2013.13010openalex-snapshot
Migration timing and wintering areas of three species of flycatchers (Tyrannus) breeding in the Great Plains of North America
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1642/auk-13-145.1openalex-snapshot
Influence of climate on annual survival of Barn Swallows (Hirundo rustica) breeding in North America
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2002)083[2832:ahaopc]2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
A HIERARCHICAL ANALYSIS OF POPULATION CHANGE WITH APPLICATION TO CERULEAN WARBLERS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/09-0998.1openalex-snapshot
Bayesian change point analysis of abundance trends for pelagic fishes in the upper San Francisco Estuary
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/es13-00116.1openalex-snapshot
A multi‐isotope (δ 2 H, δ 13 C, δ 15 N) approach to establishing migratory connectivity of Barn Swallow ( Hirundo rustica )
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2193/2008-129openalex-snapshot
Assessing Landbird Monitoring Programs and Demographic Causes of Population Trends
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.22621/cfn.v128i2.1565openalex-snapshot
Estimating breeding bird survey trends and annual indices for Canada: how do the new hierarchical Bayesian estimates differ from previous estimates?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2265653openalex-snapshot
Monitoring Long‐Term Population Change: Why are there so Many Analysis Methods?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203218181openalex-snapshot
Synoptic and Dynamic Climatology
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5751/ace-00391-050201openalex-snapshot
Declines of Aerial Insectivores in North America Follow a Geographic Gradient

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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DNA diet profiles with high‐resolution animal tracking data reveal levels of prey selection relative to habitat choice in a crepuscular insectivorous bird
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Urbanization mediates the effects of water quality and climate on a model aerial insectivorous bird
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Climate variability has idiosyncratic impacts on North American aerial insectivorous bird population trajectories
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A spatially varying change points model for monitoring glaucoma progression using visual field data
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Neonicotinoids and decline in bird biodiversity in the United States
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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2601817123openalex-snapshot
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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/00063657.2019.1655527openalex-snapshot
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Tree Swallow selection for wetlands in agricultural landscapes predicted by central-place foraging theory
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Evidence for multiple drivers of aerial insectivore declines in North America
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/condor/duz067openalex-snapshot
Barn Swallow (Hirundo rustica) fledglings use crop habitat more frequently in relation to its availability than pasture and other habitat types
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Agricultural pesticides and ectoparasites: potential combined effects on the physiology of a declining aerial insectivore
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/conphys/coaf068openalex-snapshot
Barn swallows and purple martins convert precursors to long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids: implications for conservation of riparian- vs inland-nesting habitats
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/ee/nvac107openalex-snapshot
Specialist Herbivore Performance on Introduced Plants During Native Host Decline
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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/ornithapp/duad062openalex-snapshot
Increasing marsh bird abundance in coastal wetlands of the Great Lakes, 2011–2021, likely caused by increasing water levels
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/ornithapp/duae012openalex-snapshot
Hirundo rustica (Barn Swallows) and Tachycineta bicolor (Tree Swallows) select wetlands in agriculturally intensive landscapes, as revealed by GPS tracking
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Aerial insectivores breeding in agricultural landscapes: Highlighting the value of wetlands and heterogeneous habitats
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/ornithology/ukab075openalex-snapshot
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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/ornithology/ukae056openalex-snapshot
DNA metabarcoding reveals dietary divergence among sympatric swallows and flycatchers
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/ornithology/ukaf052openalex-snapshot
DNA metabarcoding reveals the diet of Chaetura pelagica (Chimney Swift), a declining aerial insectivore
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2019.0018openalex-snapshot
Rainy springs linked to poor nestling growth in a declining avian aerial insectivore ( Tachycineta bicolor )
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.26.010215openalex-snapshot
North American Breeding Bird Survey status and trend estimates to inform a wide-range of conservation needs, using a flexible Bayesian hierarchical generalized additive model
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Aggregating three sources of long‐term trends of swallows and martins to identify priority conservation areas in the Great Lakes region
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Differences in spatial synchrony and interspecific concordance inform guild‐level population trends for aerial insectivorous birds
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Demography of Common Swifts (Apus apus) breeding in the UK associated with local weather but not aphid biomass
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Precise direct tracking and remote sensing reveal the use of forest islands as roost sites by Purple Martins during migration
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First full annual cycle tracking of a declining aerial insectivorous bird, the Common Nighthawk (Chordeiles minor), identifies migration routes, nonbreeding habitat, and breeding site fidelity
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Ecology and conservation of avian aerial insectivores
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Effects of turbine height and cut-in speed on bat and swallow fatalities at wind energy facilities
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Temporal changes in avian community composition in lowland conifer habitats at the southern edge of the boreal zone in the Adirondack Park, NY
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An isotope (δ34S) filter and geolocator results constrain a dual feather isoscape (δ2H, δ13C) to identify the wintering grounds of North American Barn Swallows
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The first 50 years of the North American Breeding Bird Survey
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Agricultural land cover does not affect the diet of Tree Swallows in wetland-dominated habitats
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Demographic drivers of local population decline in Tree Swallows ( Tachycineta bicolor ) in Ontario, Canada
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1650/condor-18-75.1openalex-snapshot
Demographic drivers of collapse in an island population of Tree Swallows
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Eastern Whip-Poor-Wills ( Antrostomus vociferus ) Are Positively Associated With Low Elevation Forest In the Central Appalachians
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Conspecific cues encourage Barn Swallow (Hirundo rustica erythrogaster) prospecting, but not nesting, at new nesting structures
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Full Issue PDF
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Strategic Plan for the North American Breeding Bird Survey, 2020–30
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Stable Isotopes from Museum Specimens May Provide Evidence of Long-Term Change in the Trophic Ecology of a Migratory Aerial Insectivore
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Conservation Across Aquatic-Terrestrial Boundaries: Linking Continental-Scale Water Quality to Emergent Aquatic Insects and Declining Aerial Insectivorous Birds
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Forecasting the Cumulative Effects of Multiple Stressors on Breeding Habitat for a Steeply Declining Aerial Insectivorous Songbird, the Olive-sided Flycatcher (Contopus cooperi)
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Combining bulk stable H isotope (δ2H) measurements with fatty acid profiles to examine differential use of aquatic vs. terrestrial prey by three sympatric species of aerial insectivorous birds
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The Breeding Bird Survey at 50: scientists and birders working together for bird conservation
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No effect of insect abundance on nestling survival or mass for three aerial insectivores
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Timing matters: cloud cover and date influence probability of detecting nesting Chimney Swifts (Chaetura pelagica)
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Monitoring boreal avian populations: how can we estimate trends and trajectories from noisy data?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5751/ace-01849-160201openalex-snapshot
An efficient method for sampling aerial arthropods at nest sites of an insectivorous songbird in steep decline
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Minor interspecies differences in breeding phenology and productivity between two co-occurring aerial insectivores
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5751/ace-02075-170112openalex-snapshot
Spatially explicit population trend estimates of owls in the Maritime provinces of Canada and the influence of call playback
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5751/ace-02203-170221openalex-snapshot
Weather and climate change drive annual variation of reproduction by an aerial insectivore
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5751/ace-02519-180210openalex-snapshot
Optimizing survey timing for detecting a declining aerial insectivore, the Black Swift ( Cypseloides niger borealis )
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5751/ace-02692-190124openalex-snapshot
Environmental relationships, decadal changes, and regional decline of Eastern Whip-poor-will ( Antrostomus vociferus ) and Chuck-will’s-widow ( Antrostomus carolinensis )
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5751/jfo-00434-950112openalex-snapshot
First egg dates of Tree Swallows ( Tachycineta bicolor ) nesting in boxes in west Michigan advanced with increasing spring temperatures between 1993 and 2018
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.64898/2025.12.15.694424openalex-snapshot
Divergent climate impacts despite similar response to temperature in a widespread aerial insectivore
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Aerosolized Coal Fly Ash: A Previously Unrecognized Primary Factor in the Catastrophic Global Demise of Bird Populations and Species
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