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North American Breeding Bird Survey status and trend estimates to inform a wide-range of conservation needs, using a flexible Bayesian hierarchical generalized additive model

https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.26.010215
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2137openalex-snapshot
Model selection for the North American Breeding Bird Survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-24277-4_9openalex-snapshot
Data Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-013-9416-2openalex-snapshot
Understanding predictive information criteria for Bayesian models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-016-9696-4openalex-snapshot
Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.006openalex-snapshot
Cross-validation for selecting a model selection procedure
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1983.10478017openalex-snapshot
Smearing Estimate: A Nonparametric Retransformation Method
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12720openalex-snapshot
Decomposing trends in Swedish bird populations using generalized additive mixed models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12811openalex-snapshot
Opposing responses to drought shape spatial population dynamics of declining grassland birds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.02881openalex-snapshot
Cross‐validation strategies for data with temporal, spatial, hierarchical, or phylogenetic structure
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw1313openalex-snapshot
Decline of the North American avifauna
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1201/9780429258411openalex-snapshot
Bayesian Data Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1201/9781315370279openalex-snapshot
Generalized Additive Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/06-ba117aopenalex-snapshot
Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (comment on article by Browne and Draper)
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0130768openalex-snapshot
Change Points in the Population Trends of Aerial-Insectivorous Birds in North America: Synchronized in Time across Species and Regions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1525/auk.2010.09220openalex-snapshot
Analysis of the North American Breeding Bird Survey Using Hierarchical Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1650/condor-17-1.1openalex-snapshot
Model selection for the North American Breeding Bird Survey: A comparison of methods
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1650/condor-17-57.1openalex-snapshot
Use of North American Breeding Bird Survey data in avian conservation assessments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1650/condor-17-62.1openalex-snapshot
The role of the North American Breeding Bird Survey in conservation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1650/condor-17-83.1openalex-snapshot
The first 50 years of the North American Breeding Bird Survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v014.i14openalex-snapshot
Bayesian Analysis for Penalized Spline Regression UsingWinBUGS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2000)081[1970:aoptff]2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
ANALYSIS OF POPULATION TRENDS FOR FARMLAND BIRDS USING GENERALIZED ADDITIVE MODELS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2002)083[2832:ahaopc]2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
A HIERARCHICAL ANALYSIS OF POPULATION CHANGE WITH APPLICATION TO CERULEAN WARBLERS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/0012-9658(2007)88[49:scoapc]2.0.co;2openalex-snapshot
SEASONAL COMPONENTS OF AVIAN POPULATION CHANGE: JOINT ANALYSIS OF TWO LARGE-SCALE MONITORING PROGRAMS
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1890/15-1286.1openalex-snapshot
Bayesian cross‐validation for model evaluation and selection, with application to the North American Breeding Bird Survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.22621/cfn.v128i2.1565openalex-snapshot
Estimating breeding bird survey trends and annual indices for Canada: how do the new hierarchical Bayesian estimates differ from previous estimates?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2265650openalex-snapshot
New Approaches to the Analysis of Population Trends in Land Birds
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2290063openalex-snapshot
Robust Statistical Modeling Using the t Distribution
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2983440openalex-snapshot
Model Uncertainty, Data Mining and Statistical Inference
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.32614/r.manualsopenalex-snapshot
R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5066/f7c24tnpopenalex-snapshot
The North American Breeding Bird Survey, Results and Analysis 1966 - 2015. Version 12.23.2015
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19712698openalex-snapshot
A Study of Cross-Validation and Bootstrap for Accuracy Estimation and Model Selection
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3727278openalex-snapshot
bbsBayes v2.1.0
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.6876openalex-snapshot
Hierarchical generalized additive models in ecology: an introduction with mgcv

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-025-00709-2openalex-snapshot
Nonstationary Demographic State-Space Models Using Unreplicated Counts for Species Undergoing Environmental Stressors
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.22541/au.159969715.57074848openalex-snapshot
Hierarchical spline for time series forecasting: An application to Naval ship engine failure rate
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5334/jors.329openalex-snapshot
bbsBayes: An R Package for Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis of North American Breeding Bird Survey Data
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5751/ace-01821-160110openalex-snapshot
Bird trends from long-term observation data at sites in the Hudson Bay Lowlands
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