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Subjective Income Expectations and Household Debt Choices

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4901736
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Psychology-Based Models of Asset Prices and Trading Volume
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Errors in probabilistic reasoning and judgment biases
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The Stambaugh bias in panel predictive regressions
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Debit or credit?
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Extrapolation and bubbles
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How important is variability in consumer credit limits?
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Do borrowers know their mortgage terms?
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Predictive regressions
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Gender roles produce divergent economic expectations
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Heterogeneity in Expectations, Risk Tolerance, and Household Stock Shares: The Attenuation Puzzle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/250029openalex-snapshot
Are Financial Analysts' Forecasts of Corporate Profits Rational?
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Credit Cycles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/708816openalex-snapshot
The Housing Boom and Bust: Model Meets Evidence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/718982openalex-snapshot
Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations
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NOTE ON BIAS IN THE ESTIMATION OF AUTOCORRELATION
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199254026.003.0007openalex-snapshot
Consumption Inequality and Income Uncertainty
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjaa034openalex-snapshot
Banking Crises Without Panics*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjx004openalex-snapshot
Credit Expansion and Neglected Crash Risk*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjx014openalex-snapshot
Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjx017openalex-snapshot
Household Debt and Business Cycles Worldwide*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjy014openalex-snapshot
Excess Sensitivity of High-Income Consumers*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdac075openalex-snapshot
IQ, Expectations, and Choice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhab083openalex-snapshot
Managing Households’ Expectations with Unconventional Policies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhy055openalex-snapshot
The Liquid Hand-to-Mouth: Evidence from Personal Finance Management Software
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00077openalex-snapshot
Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0327.00070openalex-snapshot
Is the crisis problem growing more severe?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2004.00476.xopenalex-snapshot
Income Variance Dynamics and Heterogeneity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2004.00537.xopenalex-snapshot
Measuring Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12069openalex-snapshot
When Credit Bites Back
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12586openalex-snapshot
Diagnostic Expectations and Credit Cycles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12819openalex-snapshot
Personal Experiences and Expectations about Aggregate Outcomes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12833openalex-snapshot
Diagnostic Expectations and Stock Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12869openalex-snapshot
How Does Credit Supply Expansion Affect the Real Economy? The Productive Capacity and Household Demand Channels
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-financial-110118-123041openalex-snapshot
The Information View of Financial Crises
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.economics.050708.142933openalex-snapshot
The Consumption Response to Income Changes
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/00346530152480117openalex-snapshot
Superior Information, Income Shocks, and the Permanent Income Hypothesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00867openalex-snapshot
How Do Expectations about the Macroeconomy Affect Personal Expectations and Behavior?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/073500102317351985openalex-snapshot
An Empirical Analysis of Earnings and Employment Risk
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.6.2530openalex-snapshot
Consumer Spending and the Economic Stimulus Payments of 2008
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.2.343openalex-snapshot
Collateral Crises
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.2.379openalex-snapshot
A Macroeconomic Model with a Financial Sector
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20120283openalex-snapshot
Cellular Service Demand: Biased Beliefs, Learning, and Bill Shock
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20170537openalex-snapshot
Consumer Spending during Unemployment: Positive and Normative Implications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20181735openalex-snapshot
Asymmetric Consumption Smoothing
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.97.1.402openalex-snapshot
Consumer Bankruptcy: A Fresh Start
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.97.3.687openalex-snapshot
Learning Your Earning: Are Labor Income Shocks Really Very Persistent?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.99.2.466openalex-snapshot
The Aftermath of Financial Crises
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.47.2.315openalex-snapshot
Psychology and Economics: Evidence from the Field
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.48.3.693openalex-snapshot
Consumption and Saving: Models of Intertemporal Allocation and Their Implications for Public Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.32.3.31openalex-snapshot
Finance and Business Cycles: The Credit-Driven Household Demand Channel
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20170403openalex-snapshot
Older Americans Would Work Longer if Jobs Were Flexible
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20190211openalex-snapshot
MPC Heterogeneity and Household Balance Sheets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20191050openalex-snapshot
Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1353/mcb.2004.0007openalex-snapshot
Expectations, Heterogeneous Forecast Errors, and Consumption: Micro Evidence from the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Surveys
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1070342openalex-snapshot
The Reaction of Consumer Spending and Debt to Tax Rebates - Evidence from Consumer Credit Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.143052openalex-snapshot
Using Subjective Income Expectations to Test for Excess Sensitivity of Consumption to Predicted Income Growth
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1573958openalex-snapshot
The Global Financial Crisis: How Similar? How Different? How Costly?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.213011openalex-snapshot
Do Liquidity Constraints and Interest Rates Matter for Consumer Behavior? Evidence from Credit Card Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2608192openalex-snapshot
Socioeconomic Status and Learning from Financial Information
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2708008openalex-snapshot
Consumption Uncertainty and Precautionary Saving
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.314702openalex-snapshot
A Quantitative Theory of Unsecured Consumer Credit with Risk of Default
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3794759openalex-snapshot
Consumption Response to Credit Expansions: Evidence from Experimental Assignment of 45,307 Credit Lines
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3901605openalex-snapshot
The 2000s Housing Cycle With 2020 Hindsight: A Neo-Kindlebergerian View
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3910318openalex-snapshot
Incorporating Diagnostic Expectations into the New Keynesian Framework
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4747743openalex-snapshot
Why Survey-Based Subjective Expectations are Meaningful and Important
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1911408openalex-snapshot
Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w21567openalex-snapshot
Do Banks Pass Through Credit Expansions to Consumers Who Want to Borrow?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w23850openalex-snapshot
How Credit Cycles across a Financial Crisis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w24045openalex-snapshot
Socioeconomic Status and Macroeconomic Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w24091openalex-snapshot
House Price Beliefs And Mortgage Leverage Choice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w24386openalex-snapshot
What Would You Do With $500? Spending Responses to Gains, Losses, News and Loans
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w25747openalex-snapshot
Reflexivity in Credit Markets
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w26830openalex-snapshot
A Quantitative Analysis of Distortions in Managerial Forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w27396openalex-snapshot
Predictable Financial Crises
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w27552openalex-snapshot
Wealth, Race, and Consumption Smoothing of Typical Income Shocks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w27693openalex-snapshot
How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w28416openalex-snapshot
Real Credit Cycles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w28604openalex-snapshot
Diagnostic Business Cycles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w28625openalex-snapshot
The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w29909openalex-snapshot
Housing Market Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w30013openalex-snapshot
The Marginal Propensity to Consume in Heterogeneous Agent Models
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w30046openalex-snapshot
The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w30724openalex-snapshot
Wage Garnishment in the United States: New Facts from Administrative Payroll Records
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w31019openalex-snapshot
Subjective Earnings Risk
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w31516openalex-snapshot
Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w31894openalex-snapshot
How Do Households Respond to Income Shocks?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w32191openalex-snapshot
The How and Why of Household Reactions to Income Shocks
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w5788openalex-snapshot
Buffer-Stock Saving and the Life Cycle/Permanent Income Hypothesis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta10528openalex-snapshot
A Model of the Consumption Response to Fiscal Stimulus Payments
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