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Political Capital: Real-Time Electoral Probabilities and the Value of Corporate Political Alignment

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5234903
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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The Jeffords Effect
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The Cost of Political Connections
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The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market
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External Networking and Internal Firm Governance
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Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices
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Differences between Politically Connected and Nonconnected Firms: A Cross‐Country Analysis
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A Review of the Nonmarket Strategy Literature
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Corporate Political Connections: A Multidisciplinary Review
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Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections
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Politically Connected Firms
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Why is There so Little Money in U.S. Politics?
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Populist Leaders and the Economy
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Government Spending, Political Cycles and the Cross Section of Stock Returns
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The Value of Connections in Turbulent Times: Evidence from the United States
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Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
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United States Investment Returns during Democratic and Republican Administrations, 1928–1993
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Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses
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