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Political Cycles and Stock Returns

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-016-0313-zopenalex-snapshot
Political business cycles 40 years after Nordhaus
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-017-0491-3openalex-snapshot
Government ideology and economic policy-making in the United States—a survey
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(89)90047-0openalex-snapshot
Is public expenditure productive?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2016.12.004openalex-snapshot
Partisan politics: The empirical evidence from OECD panel studies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.08.016openalex-snapshot
Government spending, political cycles, and the cross section of stock returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.08.007openalex-snapshot
Political uncertainty and risk premia
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.02.007openalex-snapshot
Time varying risk aversion
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2013.01.004openalex-snapshot
Government Investment and the Stock Market
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2016.03.004openalex-snapshot
Income inequality and asset prices under redistributive taxation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2003.11.001openalex-snapshot
Does right or left matter? Cabinets, credibility and fiscal adjustments
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2004.12.008openalex-snapshot
Democrats, republicans, and taxes: Evidence that political parties matter
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2005.06.003openalex-snapshot
Are policy platforms capitalized into equity prices? Evidence from the Bush/Gore 2000 Presidential Election
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511720512openalex-snapshot
Partisan Politics, Divided Government, and the Economy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055400269712openalex-snapshot
Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s0003055412000330openalex-snapshot
Unemployment and the Democratic Electoral Advantage
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/250059openalex-snapshot
By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/257897openalex-snapshot
An Economic Theory of Political Action in a Democracy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/261726openalex-snapshot
Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogeneous Growth
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/654407openalex-snapshot
The Political Business Cycle after 25 Years
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024openalex-snapshot
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw034openalex-snapshot
What is the Expected Return on the Market?*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhr100openalex-snapshot
Precarious Politics and Return Volatility
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00347openalex-snapshot
Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6261.00590openalex-snapshot
The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9442.2007.00517.xopenalex-snapshot
Public Employment and the Business Cycle*
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2005.00778.xopenalex-snapshot
Rational IPO Waves
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01707.xopenalex-snapshot
Political Uncertainty and Corporate Investment Cycles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01746.xopenalex-snapshot
Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12037openalex-snapshot
WHAT HAVE WE LEARNED FROM THREE DECADES OF RESEARCH ON THE PRODUCTIVITY OF PUBLIC CAPITAL?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12406openalex-snapshot
The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.122.2.807openalex-snapshot
Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20121236openalex-snapshot
Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20140913openalex-snapshot
Presidents and the US Economy: An Econometric Exploration
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.20.2.97openalex-snapshot
Purple America
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1515/9780691188003openalex-snapshot
Political Economy in Macroeconomics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00006026openalex-snapshot
Rich State, Poor State, Red State, Blue State: What’s the Matter with Connecticut?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1884222openalex-snapshot
Macroeconomic Policy in a Two-Party System as a Repeated Game
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1924969openalex-snapshot
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/1954537openalex-snapshot
The Expansion of the Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2109540openalex-snapshot
The Role of Public Capital in Production
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2296528openalex-snapshot
The Political Business Cycle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2297526openalex-snapshot
Elections and Macroeconomic Policy Cycles
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2330399openalex-snapshot
The Market Prefers Republicans: Myth or Reality
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v26.n1.111openalex-snapshot
Variable Annuity Suggestions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v41.n2.58openalex-snapshot
Common Stock Returns and Presidential Elections
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v51.n2.1882openalex-snapshot
United States Investment Returns during Democratic and Republican Administrations, 1928–1993
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w21722openalex-snapshot
US Monetary Policy and the Global Financial Cycle
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta11182openalex-snapshot
Financial Health Economics
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.4159/9780674038639openalex-snapshot
The American Political Economy
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/5437.001.0001openalex-snapshot
Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Finfluencer-in-Chief
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Corporate Cash Flow Outcomes Across Presidencies: Still a Presidential Puzzle
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Political Cycle and IPO Waves
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Political Partisanship and Firm Risk
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Presidential Cycles in PEAD
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Quantifying investor narratives and their role during COVID‐19
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Magisches Viereck
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US partisan conflict shocks and international stock market returns
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Economic policy uncertainty and bank wholesale funding: Does the quality of political signals matter?
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Economic Freedom and Market Efficiency: Empirical Evidence from Asian Stock Markets
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Government ideology and economic policy-making in the United States—a survey
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-021-00912-yopenalex-snapshot
The Democrat-Republican presidential growth gap and the partisan balance of the state governments
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Democracy, corruption, and endogenous entrepreneurship policy
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Mayoral partisanship and municipal fiscal health
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Currency risk exposure and the presidential effect in stock returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2021.10.012openalex-snapshot
Does economic policy uncertainty affect investment sensitivity to peer stock prices?
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Presidential cycles and time-varying bond–stock market correlations: Evidence from more than two centuries of data
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Determinants of digital euro adoption: The role of political orientation
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Does the U.S. president affect the stock market?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2019.07.014openalex-snapshot
Time-varying risk aversion and the predictability of bond premia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103419openalex-snapshot
Stock liquidity and firm-level political risk
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103616openalex-snapshot
Presidential cycles in international equity flows and returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104546openalex-snapshot
Unified government and the value of cash holdings
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.105728openalex-snapshot
Portfolio's weighted political risk and mutual fund performance: A text-based approach
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106658openalex-snapshot
Political stability as a risk factor in global markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2023.100832openalex-snapshot
The value relevance of corporate tax expenses in the presence of partisanship: International evidence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2024.01.004openalex-snapshot
Firm executive political leanings, Washington, and stock market returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.103927openalex-snapshot
U.S. Presidential news coverage: Risk, uncertainty and stocks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2026.105237openalex-snapshot
Irony in Chinese stock markets: Policy uncertainty, idiosyncratic volatility, and volatility transmission
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2018.12.014openalex-snapshot
The debt tax shield in general equilibrium
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107156openalex-snapshot
How do regulatory costs affect mergers and acquisitions decisions and outcomes?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107201openalex-snapshot
Left behind: Partisan identity, stock market participation, and wealth inequality
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100301openalex-snapshot
Does social capital influence corporate risk-taking?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2026.116395openalex-snapshot
CEO compensation and the political environment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2022.102322openalex-snapshot
Wage gap and stock returns: Do investors dislike pay inequality?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2024.102627openalex-snapshot
Political uncertainty and institutional herding
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2022.05.027openalex-snapshot
Partisanship and survey refusal
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2018.e00110openalex-snapshot
Firm-level political risk and asymmetric volatility
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2026.106192openalex-snapshot
The comovement of voter preferences: Insights from U.S. presidential election prediction markets beyond polls
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2023.03.004openalex-snapshot
Global political risk and international stock returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.12.013openalex-snapshot
Competition, profitability, and discount rates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.05.039openalex-snapshot
Risk perceptions and politics: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.06.031openalex-snapshot
Government policy approval and exchange rates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2022.10.004openalex-snapshot
Presidential economic approval rating and the cross-section of stock returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2026.101552openalex-snapshot
Regulatory intensity and stock liquidity
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2023.102910openalex-snapshot
Equity market connectedness across regimes of geopolitical risks: Historical evidence and theory
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103134openalex-snapshot
Protectionism, bilateral integration, and the cross section of exchange rate returns in US presidential debates
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2023.01.009openalex-snapshot
Government Debt and Risk Premia
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2021.10.005openalex-snapshot
The influence of extreme events such as Brexit and Covid-19 on equity markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104254openalex-snapshot
Polarization and public health: Partisan differences in social distancing during the coronavirus pandemic
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2018.02.003openalex-snapshot
Which information matters to market risk spreading in Brazil? Volatility transmission modelling using MGARCH-BEKK, DCC, t-Copulas
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2024.102119openalex-snapshot
Corporate taxes, partisan politics, and stock returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2026.103126openalex-snapshot
Long-term comparative performance of Australian asset classes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2026.103346openalex-snapshot
Political risk and stock markets: Evidence from 2024 Indian National Elections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102631openalex-snapshot
Presidential honeymoons, political cycles and the commodity market
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2021.101802openalex-snapshot
Digitalization and populism: Cross-country evidence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/bap.2026.10026openalex-snapshot
Political certainty as an investment asset: how electoral competition shapes foreign direct investment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109019000383openalex-snapshot
Partisan Bias in Fund Portfolios
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0022109022001004openalex-snapshot
Cross-Subsidization in Conglomerate Firms: Evidence from Government Spending Shocks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937501openalex-snapshot
U.S. presidential election polls and the economic prospects of China and Mexico
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174937openalex-snapshot
Political cycle and effective corporate tax rate: evidence from China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2025.2590774openalex-snapshot
Economic policy uncertainty, ESG and credit risk: do environmentally sensitive industries enjoy superior risk mitigation?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/1331677x.2022.2129409openalex-snapshot
Is presidential popularity a threat or encouragement for investors?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2024.2311310openalex-snapshot
Policy uncertainty and idiosyncratic volatility on Nikkei 225 stocks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.001.0001openalex-snapshot
Presidential Leadership in Feeble Times
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.002.0003openalex-snapshot
Copyright Page
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.002.0005openalex-snapshot
Preface
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.002.0007openalex-snapshot
A Note on Abbreviations, Data, and Sources
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.002.0008openalex-snapshot
Notes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0001openalex-snapshot
Introduction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0002openalex-snapshot
The Puzzle
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0003openalex-snapshot
Prelude
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0004openalex-snapshot
Interlude
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0005openalex-snapshot
Ulysses S. Grant, First Term
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0006openalex-snapshot
Ulysses S. Grant, Second Term
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0007openalex-snapshot
Rutherford B. Hayes and the Great Economic Boom, 1877–1881
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0008openalex-snapshot
Interlude: Into the 1880s
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0009openalex-snapshot
James A. Garfield and the Economy of 1881
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0010openalex-snapshot
Chester Arthur and the Smoldering Depression of 1881–1885
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0011openalex-snapshot
Grover Cleveland
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0012openalex-snapshot
Interlude: Into the 1890s
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0013openalex-snapshot
Benjamin Harrison, Patriot and Partisan
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0014openalex-snapshot
Grover Cleveland Returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0015openalex-snapshot
William McKinley and the Developmental State, 1897–1901
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.003.0016openalex-snapshot
Conclusions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780197750742.005.0001openalex-snapshot
Appendix: Estimating Presidential Performance—Data, Sources, and Methods
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/rapstu/raae001openalex-snapshot
Price of Regulations: Regulatory Costs and the Cross-section of Stock Returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhab120openalex-snapshot
The Oligopoly Lucas Tree
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhae001openalex-snapshot
Using Social Media to Identify the Effects of Congressional Viewpoints on Asset Prices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/ijmf-02-2025-0074openalex-snapshot
CEO hometown political influences and corporate investment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1108/ijoem-06-2021-0960openalex-snapshot
Effect of presidential elections on investor herding behaviour in African stock markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.12531openalex-snapshot
The impact of political settings on banks’ jumbo mortgage lending: Evidence from US state‐chartered banks under dual banking system
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.70146openalex-snapshot
Partisan Return Comovement
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/fima.12414openalex-snapshot
Climate risk perceptions and demand for flood insurance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/fire.70060openalex-snapshot
How Political Winds Shape Growth Horizons: Firm‐Level Political Risk and Equity Duration
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.12410openalex-snapshot
Political uncertainty and investments by private and state‐owned enterprises
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13081openalex-snapshot
Inequality Aversion, Populism, and the Backlash against Globalization
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.70042openalex-snapshot
Partisan Entrepreneurship
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/sjpe.70028openalex-snapshot
Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment Across Sentiment Regimes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1117/12.3023429openalex-snapshot
Portfolio selection via topological data analysis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1142/s0217590823500339openalex-snapshot
DO INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY AND POLITICAL RISK MATTER FOR FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT? EVIDENCE FROM THE SELECTED EMERGING ECONOMIES
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-financial-111424-122119openalex-snapshot
Politics and Finance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1177/1532673x251325458openalex-snapshot
Gasoline Prices and Presidential Approval Ratings of the United States
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-024-00658-8openalex-snapshot
Influence of political stability on the stock market returns and volatility: GARCH and EGARCH approach
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.00599openalex-snapshot
Return to the United States: Impact of Reshoring Announcements and Reshoring Risks on Market Valuation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.03595openalex-snapshot
Market Ambiguity Attitude Restores the Risk-Return Trade-Off
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4913openalex-snapshot
Partisan Return Gap: The Polarized Stock Market in the Time of a Pandemic
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.13189/ujaf.2022.100217openalex-snapshot
Indonesia Tourism Enterprises' Stock Returns Research: Looking Back and Moving Forward
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1515/ev-2021-0001openalex-snapshot
Joe Biden: A Bearer of Hope
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1992200openalex-snapshot
Political Uncertainty and Public Financing Costs: Evidence from U.S. Municipal Bond Markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2799778openalex-snapshot
Government Spending Shocks and Asset Prices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2903067openalex-snapshot
No Matter the Winning Presidential Candidate, Buying at Halloween and Selling in Mayy Has Been Attractive for Equities in Pre-Election Years, with the Opposite for Treasuries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2933270openalex-snapshot
Political Partisan Bias in Mutual Fund Portfolios
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2960458openalex-snapshot
Presidential Politics and Stock Returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3120024openalex-snapshot
Home Bias in U.S. Politics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3194190openalex-snapshot
Consumption, Government Failure, and Asset Prices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3221659openalex-snapshot
Partisan Conflict and Stock Price
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3224232openalex-snapshot
Inequality Aversion, Populism, and the Backlash Against Globalization
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3226225openalex-snapshot
Wage Gap and Stock Returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3230565openalex-snapshot
Income Tax Shocks, Political Cycles, and Asset Prices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3266461openalex-snapshot
Risk Premia to Political Uncertainty in Global Equity Markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3297430openalex-snapshot
Red Tape Asset Pricing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3562037openalex-snapshot
Asset Pricing with Cyclical Consumption
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3570274openalex-snapshot
Polarization and Public Health: Partisan Differences in Social Distancing during COVID-19
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3634417openalex-snapshot
Corporate Taxes, Partisan Politics, and Stock Returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3657217openalex-snapshot
How Do Regulatory Costs Affect M&A Decisions and Outcomes?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3690831openalex-snapshot
Return to USA: Impact of Reshoring Announcements and Reshoring Risks on Market Valuation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3711536openalex-snapshot
Stroke of a Pen: Investment and Stock Returns under Energy Policy Uncertainty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3734026openalex-snapshot
Fund Manager Partisanship and Principal-Agent Conflicts: Evidence from the COVID-19 Crisis
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3741300openalex-snapshot
Local Political-Turnover-Induced Uncertainty and Bond Market Pricing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3752116openalex-snapshot
Tell Me a Story: Quantifying Economic Narratives and Their Role during COVID-19
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3794970openalex-snapshot
Retrospective Voting Versus Risk-Aversion Voting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3805395openalex-snapshot
Another Presidential Puzzle? Presidential Economic Approval Rating and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3821106openalex-snapshot
Partisan Entrepreneurship
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3949527openalex-snapshot
Retail Customer Reactions to Private Equity Acquisitions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3949992openalex-snapshot
Taking Sides: Political Alignment and Municipal Bond Yield
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3977887openalex-snapshot
Partisanship and Portfolio Choice: Evidence from Mutual Funds
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4012097openalex-snapshot
Partisan Politics and Stock Returns under Strong Presidential Regimes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4016112openalex-snapshot
Political Announcement Return
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4112394openalex-snapshot
Do Investors in Financial Markets Anticipate Economic Growth? Evidence from Government Elections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4211750openalex-snapshot
Does a VC’s Commitment Lead to Improved Investment Outcomes? Evidence From Climate Startups
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4287033openalex-snapshot
Divided Government and the Stock Market
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4293637openalex-snapshot
From Wall Street to Hong Kong: The Value of Dual Listing for China Concept Stocks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4444693openalex-snapshot
Political Uncertainty and Capital Raising Through Private Offerings
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4486693openalex-snapshot
Asset Prices, Wealth Inequality, and Taxation *
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4516515openalex-snapshot
Market Ambiguity Attitude Restores the Risk-Return Tradeoff
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4536747openalex-snapshot
Market Ambiguity Attitude Restores the Risk-Return Tradeoff
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4572994openalex-snapshot
Election Control and Corruption in Unique Equilibrium Political Budget Cycles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4591131openalex-snapshot
Meritocracy and Asset Prices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4714228openalex-snapshot
Do Connections to the U.S. President Enable Regulatory Capture? Evidence from Antitrust Merger Reviews
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5081749openalex-snapshot
Partisan Disagreement and Stock Liquidity: Evidence from Social Media Activities around the 2020 Presidential Election
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5083779openalex-snapshot
The Comovement of Voter Preferences: Insights from U.S. Presidential Election Prediction Markets Beyond Polls
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5119147openalex-snapshot
Legislator Tweets About the Green Transition and the Returns of Green versus Brown Stocks
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5143792openalex-snapshot
(Un)Expected Political Outcomes and Currency Markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5183804openalex-snapshot
Revenue Frictions and Public Debt: Evidence from Municipal Bonds
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5212822openalex-snapshot
CEO Ideology and Global Trade
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5234903openalex-snapshot
Political Capital: Real-Time Electoral Probabilities and the Value of Corporate Political Alignment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5278185openalex-snapshot
Class Politics under Labor and Finance Frictions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5545824openalex-snapshot
Investing Around Elections
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5749464openalex-snapshot
From Red to Blue: The Long-Run Inversion of Political Cycles and Stock Market Returns Over 153 Years
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6546199openalex-snapshot
The Political Consequences of Monetary Instability: Evidence from Bitcoin Adoption in El Salvador
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.7275242openalex-snapshot
Presidential Alpha: Relative Performance Evaluation of US Economic Leadership
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.22381/emfm16220211openalex-snapshot
The Impact of the Obama and Trump Presidential Election Cycles on the S and P500
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.22410/issn.1983-036x.v26i4a2019.2206openalex-snapshot
O IMPACTO DOS CICLOS POLÍTICOS NOS RETORNOS E NA VOLATILIDADE DO IBOVESPA
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.22495/rgcv12i3p5openalex-snapshot
Geopolitical risks and asset prices: Wealth effects of delisting regulation on Chinese companies listed on the U.S. exchanges
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2333/jbhmk.49.197openalex-snapshot
Sentiment Analysis of the Economic Report of the President in the United States:What Determines Economic Recognition?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.29249/selcuksbmyd.1773551openalex-snapshot
Siyasi Seçimlerin Finansal Piyasalar Üzerindeki Etkisi: 2024 Amerika Başkanlık Seçimleri Olay Çalışması
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.29303/jaa.v5i2.96openalex-snapshot
ANALISIS PENGARUH STABILITAS POLITIK DAN FAKTOR EKONOMI TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/qhs6jopenalex-snapshot
Partisan Entrepreneurship
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.32469/10355/85822openalex-snapshot
Three essays on innovation, corporate control and household consumption-based asset pricing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3386/w24900openalex-snapshot
Inequality Aversion, Populism, and the Backlash Against Globalization
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3386/w25292openalex-snapshot
Partisan Professionals: Evidence from Credit Rating Analysts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3386/w26433openalex-snapshot
Partisanship and Survey Refusal
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3386/w32775openalex-snapshot
Global Hegemony and Exorbitant Privilege
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/math11132964openalex-snapshot
Realized Stock-Market Volatility of the United States and the Presidential Approval Rating
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/risks13100201openalex-snapshot
Presidential Partisanship and Sectoral ETF Performance in U.S. Equity Markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.47654/v23y2019i2p151-163openalex-snapshot
Presidential Cycles in the USA and the Dollar-Pound Exchange Rate: Evidence from Over Two Centuries
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.55643/ser.2.60.2026.663openalex-snapshot
GLOBAL STOCK MARKET INDICES AS INDICATORS OF GEOECONOMIC RISKS IN INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONS
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.64628/aai.7txjc4rsjopenalex-snapshot
How Trump’s second term might affect the market and your finances
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.70675/d1d30c57z0cfcz45d2z838ez0be431ae85edopenalex-snapshot
Three essays on mutual fund performance and risk-taking
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.9744/ijbs.4.2.97-108openalex-snapshot
Determinants of Political Stability to Support Foreign Investment in Indonesia
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