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From Red to Blue: The Long-Run Inversion of Political Cycles and Stock Market Returns Over 153 Years

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5749464
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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Is the Presidential Premium Spurious
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Chapter 13 Consumption-based asset pricing
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Bootstrap Methods and their Application
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By Force of Habit: A Consumption‐Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior
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Indexes of U.S. Stock Prices from 1802 to 1987
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Political Cycles and Stock Returns
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Political Sentiment and Predictable Returns
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Consumption, Aggregate Wealth, and Expected Stock Returns
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Spurious Regressions in Financial Economics?
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The Presidential Puzzle: Political Cycles and the Stock Market
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2012.01746.xopenalex-snapshot
Uncertainty about Government Policy and Stock Prices
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Resolving the Presidential Puzzle
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The Price of Political Uncertainty: Theory and Evidence from the Option Market
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Partisan Impacts on the Economy: Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
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Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption
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Fairness and Redistribution
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The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty
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Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions
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Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy
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Distributive Politics and Economic Growth
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Hypothesis Testing with Efficient Method of Moments Estimation
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Political-Economic Cycles in the U.S. Stock Market
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Common Stock Returns and Presidential Elections
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United States Investment Returns during Democratic and Republican Administrations, 1928–1993
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