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Human Information Processing and Adjudication: Trial by Heuristics

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Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Analyzing the expert judge: A descriptive study of a stockbroker's decision process.
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A NOTE ON THE POWER OF STATISTICAL TESTS IN THE JOURNAL OF EDUCATIONAL MEASUREMENT
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Consistency and Optimality in Managerial Decision Making
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THE PERCEPTION OF PEOPLE
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What is in the Corn Judge's Mind?1
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The Reformation of American Administrative Law
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FOUNDATIONS OF STATISTICS

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

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Inferential Analysis
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R
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David, Goliath, and reverend Bayes: Prior beliefs about defendants' status in personal injury cases
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Introduction
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Bivalent Probabilities
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Multivalent Beliefs
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Bayes' theorem in the trial process: Instructing jurors on the value of statistical evidence.
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The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences
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The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence
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Combination of prejudiced subjective probabilities
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Delayed Diagnosis of Symptomatic Breast Cancer
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Extensional Versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment
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Choosing a future based on the past: Institutions, behavior, and path dependence
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Assessing the frequency of general fingerprint patterns by fingerprint examiners and novices
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Accentuation of information processes and biases in group judgments integrating base-rate and case-specific information
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Cognitive biases in the peer review of bullet and cartridge case comparison casework: A field study
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Low Levels of Wisdom
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Heuristics and Biases
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Preface
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Introduction – Heuristics and Biases: Then and Now
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Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning
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Representativeness Revisited: Attribute Substitution in Intuitive Judgment
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How Alike Is It? versus How Likely Is It?: A Disjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgments
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Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease: The Mediating Effect of Ease of Imagery
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The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information
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Incorporating the Irrelevant: Anchors in Judgments of Belief and Value
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Putting Adjustment Back in the Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic
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Self-Anchoring in Conversation: Why Language Users Do Not Do What They “Should”
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Inferential Correction
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Mental Contamination and the Debiasing Problem
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Sympathetic Magical Thinking: The Contagion and Similarity “Heuristics”
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Compatibility Effects in Judgment and Choice
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The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence
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Inside the Planning Fallacy: The Causes and Consequences of Optimistic Time Predictions
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Probability Judgment across Cultures
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Durability Bias in Affective Forecasting
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Resistance of Personal Risk Perceptions to Debiasing Interventions
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Ambiguity and Self-Evaluation: The Role of Idiosyncratic Trait Definitions in Self-Serving Assessments of Ability
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511808098.021openalex-snapshot
When Predictions Fail: The Dilemma of Unrealistic Optimism
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Norm Theory: Comparing Reality to Its Alternatives
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Counterfactual Thought, Regret, and Superstition: How to Avoid Kicking Yourself
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Two Systems of Reasoning
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The Affect Heuristic
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Individual Differences in Reasoning: Implications for the Rationality Debate?
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Support Theory: A Nonextensional Representation of Subjective Probability
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Unpacking, Repacking, and Anchoring: Advances in Support Theory
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Remarks on Support Theory: Recent Advances and Future Directions
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The Use of Statistical Heuristics in Everyday Inductive Reasoning
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Feelings as Information: Moods Influence Judgments and Processing Strategies
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Automated Choice Heuristics
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How Good Are Fast and Frugal Heuristics?
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Intuitive Politicians, Theologians, and Prosecutors: Exploring the Empirical Implications of Deviant Functionalist Metaphors
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The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences
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Like Goes with Like: The Role of Representativeness in Erroneous and Pseudo-Scientific Beliefs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511808098.037openalex-snapshot
When Less Is More: Counterfactual Thinking and Satisfaction among Olympic Medalists
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511808098.038openalex-snapshot
Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives
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Assessing Uncertainty in Physical Constants
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Do Analysts Overreact?
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The Calibration of Expert Judgment: Heuristics and Biases Beyond the Laboratory
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Clinical versus Actuarial Judgment
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Heuristics and Biases in Application
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511808098.044openalex-snapshot
Theory-Driven Reasoning about Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511808098.045openalex-snapshot
References
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Extensional Versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment
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Individual Differences in Reasoning and the Algorithmic/Intentional Level Distinction in Cognitive Science
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On the Relevance of “Relevance” to the Theory of Legal Factfinding
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Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate?
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Can irrationality be discussed accurately?
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We don't need another IRAC: identifying global legal skills
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Probative v. prejudicial value of eyewitness memory research
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When are people persuaded by DNA match statistics?
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Double discounting: The effects of comparative negligence on mock juror decision making.
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Juror reactions to DNA evidence: Errors and expectancies.
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Toward an Empirical Approach to Evidentiary Ruling.
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Social inference processes in juror judgments of multiple-offense trials.
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Stereotypic biases in social decision making and memory: Testing process models of stereotype use.
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When less is more: Counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists.
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Resistance of personal risk perceptions to debiasing interventions.
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Hindsight bias, Daubert, and the silicone breast implant litigation: Making the case for court-appointed experts in complex medical and scientific litigation.
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The effects of defendant conduct on jury damage awards.
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Why we still use our heads instead of formulas: Toward an integrative approach.
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Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.
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Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: Advances in support theory.
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Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgment.
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Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives.
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Commonsense rape judgments: An empathy-complexity theory of rape juror story making.
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Clinical Decision Making
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The Influence of Probabilistic Statements on the Evaluation of the Significance of a DNA Match
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DNA Evidence and Jury Comprehension
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DNA and the Changing Face of Justice
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Making forensic science fit for justice
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Avatar Profile Design and Source Credibility in Online Leisure Communities: Implications for Engagement Strategies
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The children's court and child protection: The primacy of the socio-legal response to child abuse
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Threats to student evaluative judgement and their management
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How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases”
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Juror Understanding of DNA Evidence: An Empirical Assessment of Presentation Formats for Trace Evidence with a Relatively Small Random‐Match Probability
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"Oh, That's a Tricky Piece!": Children, Mediated Action, and the Tools of Historical Time
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Adaptive Thinking: Rationality in the Real World
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Copyright Page
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Dedication
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.002.0006openalex-snapshot
Preface
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0001openalex-snapshot
From Tools to Theories
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0002openalex-snapshot
Mind as Computer
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0003openalex-snapshot
Ideas in Exile
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0004openalex-snapshot
Ecological Intelligence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0005openalex-snapshot
AIDS Counseling for Low-Risk Clients
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0006openalex-snapshot
How to Improve Bayesian Reasoning without Instruction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0007openalex-snapshot
Probabilistic Mental Models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0008openalex-snapshot
Reasoning the Fast and Frugal Way
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0009openalex-snapshot
Rationality
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0010openalex-snapshot
Domain-Specific Reasoning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0011openalex-snapshot
The Modularity of Social Intelligence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0012openalex-snapshot
How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0013openalex-snapshot
The Superego, the Ego, and the Id in Statistical Reasoning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195153729.003.0014openalex-snapshot
Surrogates for Theories
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.001.0001openalex-snapshot
The Psychology of Judicial Decision Making
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.002.0004openalex-snapshot
Copyright Page
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.002.0005openalex-snapshot
Series Foreword
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Contributors
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Introduction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0001openalex-snapshot
1 Motivation and Judicial Behavior: Expanding the Scope of Inquiry
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0002openalex-snapshot
2 Multiple Constraint Satisfaction in Judging
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0003openalex-snapshot
3 Top-Down and Bottom-Up Models of Judicial Reasoning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0004openalex-snapshot
4 Persuasion in the Decision Making of U.S. Supreme Court Justices
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0005openalex-snapshot
5 Judges as Members of Small Groups
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0006openalex-snapshot
6 The Supreme Court, Social Psychology, and Group Formation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0007openalex-snapshot
7 Is There a Psychology of Judging?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0008openalex-snapshot
8 Features of Judicial Reasoning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0009openalex-snapshot
9 In Praise of Pedantic Eclecticism: Pitfalls and Opportunities in the Psychology of Judging
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0010openalex-snapshot
10 Judges, Expertise, and Analogy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0011openalex-snapshot
11 Thresholds for Action in Judicial Decisions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0012openalex-snapshot
12 Every Jury Trial Is a Bench Trial: Judicial Engineering of Jury Disputes
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0013openalex-snapshot
13 Searching for Constraint in Legal Decision Making
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0014openalex-snapshot
14 Evaluating Judges
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0015openalex-snapshot
15 Defining Good Judging
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0016openalex-snapshot
16 Expertise of Court Judges
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0017openalex-snapshot
17 Cognitive Style and Judging
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780195367584.003.0018openalex-snapshot
18 Building a Better Judiciary
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.001.0001openalex-snapshot
Uncertain Belief
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.002.0003openalex-snapshot
Copyright Page
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.002.0004openalex-snapshot
Preface
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Epigraph
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Certainty and Uncertainty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.003.0002openalex-snapshot
The Logic of Uncertainty
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.003.0003openalex-snapshot
The Credibility Barrier
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.003.0004openalex-snapshot
Miracles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.003.0005openalex-snapshot
The Paranormal
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.003.0006openalex-snapshot
Is God’s Existence Probable?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.003.0007openalex-snapshot
The Bible
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.003.0008openalex-snapshot
Belief and Behaviour
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198270140.003.0009openalex-snapshot
Aim and Achievement
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