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Dynamic Coherence and Probability Kinematics

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-010-1438-0openalex-snapshot

Foundations of Probability Theory, Statistical Inference, and Statistical Theories of Science

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/bf00873264openalex-snapshot

Conditionalization and observation

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1007/bf02025803openalex-snapshot

On rational betting systems

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/00949658108810476openalex-snapshot

C96. The weight of evidence provided by uncertain testimony or from an uncertain event

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1982.10477893openalex-snapshot

Updating Subjective Probability

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1983.10477026openalex-snapshot

The Prevision of a Prevision

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/288169openalex-snapshot

Slightly More Realistic Personal Probability

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/288958openalex-snapshot

Is There a Dutch Book Argument for Probability Kinematics?

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177697494openalex-snapshot

Bayes' Method for Bookies

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2307/2026388openalex-snapshot

Belief and the Will

What points at this work

Incoming claims: where this work appears in other papers’ reference lists and arguments.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1002/9780470665084.biblioopenalex-snapshot

Bibliography

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Induction and Probability

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Probability, Logic, and Probability Logic

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Bayesian modeling of the mind: From norms to neurons

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Induction

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Belief and Degrees of Belief

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Diachronic Coherence and Radical Probabilism

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Discussion: A Mistake in Dynamic Coherence Arguments?

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Bayesian Conditioning, the Reflection Principle, and Quantum Decoherence

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An Improper Introduction to Epistemic Utility Theory

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The Structure of Radical Probabilism

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Updating, supposing, and maxent

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The structure of Radical Probabilism

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Belief and the problem of Ulysses and the sirens

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Correlated equilibria and the dynamics of rational deliberation

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An Improved Dutch Book Theorem for Conditionalization

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Imprecise Bayesianism and Inference to the Best Explanation

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Iterated Conditionalization in a General Setting

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11098-019-01356-3openalex-snapshot

Jeffrey conditionalization: proceed with caution

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11098-021-01603-6openalex-snapshot

You say you want a revolution: two notions of probabilistic independence

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11098-022-01849-8openalex-snapshot

Coherence in Science: A Social Approach

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The Consistency Argument for Ranking Functions

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-006-9136-7openalex-snapshot

The kinematics of belief and desire

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-013-0367-0openalex-snapshot

Infinitism and probabilistic justification

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-019-02179-9openalex-snapshot

On the proper formulation of conditionalization

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-020-02656-6openalex-snapshot

Bayesian coherentism

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-023-04175-6openalex-snapshot

Expert deference and Adams conditionalization

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/0010-0277(93)90004-fopenalex-snapshot

Ampliative inference: on choosing a probability distribution

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-444-51862-0.50003-4openalex-snapshot

Conditional Probability

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-444-52936-7.50013-6openalex-snapshot

Varieties of Bayesianism

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/b978-1-4832-8287-9.50050-5openalex-snapshot

Generalizing Jeffrey Conditionalization

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.artint.2013.02.005openalex-snapshot

Probability and time

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijar.2014.05.003openalex-snapshot

Coherent updating of non-additive measures

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2025.106067openalex-snapshot

Dynamic consistency in games without expected utility

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781108955973openalex-snapshot

Bayesian Models of the Mind

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/9781316335789openalex-snapshot

The Probabilistic Foundations of Rational Learning

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511611308.002openalex-snapshot

Introduction

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s0266267122000360openalex-snapshot

Rational updating at the crossroads

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s1755020315000180openalex-snapshot

MERGING OF OPINIONS AND PROBABILITY KINEMATICS

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s1755020317000296openalex-snapshot

A DUTCH BOOK THEOREM AND CONVERSE DUTCH BOOK THEOREM FOR KOLMOGOROV CONDITIONALIZATION

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s1755020320000295openalex-snapshot

KOLMOGOROV CONDITIONALIZERS CAN BE DUTCH BOOKED (IF AND ONLY IF THEY ARE EVIDENTIALLY UNCERTAIN)

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1017/s1755020323000345openalex-snapshot

NON-FACTIVE KOLMOGOROV CONDITIONALIZATION

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1023/a:1004229808144openalex-snapshot

Auto-Epistemology and Updating

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1023/a:1005082908147openalex-snapshot

The Coherence Argument Against Conditionalization

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1023/a:1006286003463openalex-snapshot

Conditionalization, A New Argument For

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1037/rev0000114openalex-snapshot

Bayesian argumentation and the value of logical validity.

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1080/00048408712342771openalex-snapshot

Self-doubts and dutch strategies

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/289657openalex-snapshot

Diachronic Rationality

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/289735openalex-snapshot

Discussion: A Mistake in Dynamic Coherence Arguments?

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/289961openalex-snapshot

Oracles, Aesthetics, and Bayesian Consensus

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/341837openalex-snapshot

It All Adds Up: The Dynamic Coherence of Radical Probabilism

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/432427openalex-snapshot

Radical Probabilism and Bayesian Conditioning*

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/518815openalex-snapshot

Diachronic Coherence and Radical Probabilism

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/671427openalex-snapshot

In Defense of Reflection

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/701954openalex-snapshot

Another Approach to Consensus and Maximally Informed Opinions with Increasing Evidence

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1086/psaprocbienmeetp.1992.1.192756openalex-snapshot

Dutch Strategies for Diachronic Rules: When Believers See the Sure Loss Coming

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.001.0001openalex-snapshot

Laws and Symmetry

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.001.0001.002.003openalex-snapshot

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.001.0001.002.004openalex-snapshot

Dedication

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Preface

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Introduction

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What Are Laws of Nature?

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0003openalex-snapshot

Ideal Science: David Lewis's Account of Laws1

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0004openalex-snapshot

Necessity, Worlds, and Chance

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0005openalex-snapshot

Universals: Laws Grounded in Nature

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0006openalex-snapshot

Inference to the Best Explanation: Salvation by Laws?

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0007openalex-snapshot

Towards a New Epistemology

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What if There Are No Laws? a Manifesto

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0009openalex-snapshot

Introduction to the Semantic Approach

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0010openalex-snapshot

Symmetry Arguments in Science and Metaphysics

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0011openalex-snapshot

Symmetries Guiding Modern Science1

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0012openalex-snapshot

Indifference: The Symmetries of Probability

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/0198248601.003.0013openalex-snapshot

Symmetries of Probability Kinematics

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Knowledge and its Limits

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inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/019925656x.002.0001openalex-snapshot

Preface

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Introduction

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A State of Mind

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Broadness

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Primeness

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Anti‐Luminosity

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Margins and Iterations

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An Application

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Sensitivity

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Scepticism

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Evidence

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Evidential Probability

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Assertion

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Structural Unknowability

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Correlation Coefficients

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/019925656x.005.0002openalex-snapshot

Counting Iterations of Knowledge

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/019925656x.005.0003openalex-snapshot

A Formal Model of Slight Insensitivity Almost Everywhere

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/019925656x.005.0004openalex-snapshot

Iterated Probabilities in Epistemic Logic (Proofs)

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/019925656x.005.0005openalex-snapshot

A Non‐Symmetric Epistemic Model

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/019925656x.005.0006openalex-snapshot

Distribution Over Conjunction

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197838891.001.0001openalex-snapshot

Causality, Counterfactuals, and Belief

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197838891.002.0004openalex-snapshot

Preface

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Counterfactuals

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Applications in Metaphysics

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/9780197838921.003.0003openalex-snapshot

Causality and Counterfactuals

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Belief and Counterfactuals

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Conclusion

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CHAPTER 7 Dutch Book Arguments

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/45.2.451openalex-snapshot

Bayesian Conditionalization and Probability Kinematics

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/49.1.89openalex-snapshot

Conditionalizing on Knowledge

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axu001openalex-snapshot

Belief Update across Fission

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axy027openalex-snapshot

Inference to the Best Explanation in Uncertain Evidential Situations

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axy075openalex-snapshot

Open-Minded Orthodox Bayesianism by Epsilon-Conditionalization

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axz009openalex-snapshot

Justifying Lewis’s Kinematics of Chance

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axz030openalex-snapshot

Speed-Optimal Induction and Dynamic Coherence

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/lpr/mgab001openalex-snapshot

Coherently updating degrees of belief: Radical Probabilism, the generalization of Bayes’ Theorem and its consequences on evidence evaluation

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/mind/fzu181openalex-snapshot

Time-Slice Rationality

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1093/obo/9780195396577-0301openalex-snapshot

Dutch Book Arguments

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1103/physreva.110.052205openalex-snapshot

QBism's account of quantum dynamics and decoherence

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1103/revmodphys.85.1693openalex-snapshot

Quantum-Bayesian coherence

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9264.2011.00311.xopenalex-snapshot

Self-Respect Regained

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0068.2011.00842.xopenalex-snapshot

Incoherence without Exploitability

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4975.1990.tb00204.xopenalex-snapshot

Ratifiability and the Logic of Decision

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/nous.12409openalex-snapshot

Reflecting on diachronic Dutch books

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12048openalex-snapshot

Options and Diachronic Tragedy

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12471openalex-snapshot

Diachronic Dutch Books and Evidential Import

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12742openalex-snapshot

Externalism and exploitability

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.12910openalex-snapshot

Dutch‐booking indicative conditionals

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1111/phpr.70065openalex-snapshot

Imaging and the diachronic Dutch Book

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.11612/resphil.1539openalex-snapshot

The Tripartite Role of Belief: Evidence, Truth, and Action

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.11612/resphil.1721openalex-snapshot

If There Are No Diachronic Norms of Rationality, Why Does It Seem Like There Are?

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1387/theoria.467openalex-snapshot

Un argumento trascendental para la inducción

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1515/jci-2020-0008openalex-snapshot

Decision-theoretic foundations for statistical causality

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.16995/glossa.26704openalex-snapshot

Implicating without intentions

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.22331/q-2022-05-16-713openalex-snapshot

Quantum and Classical Bayesian Agents

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2307/1522864openalex-snapshot

Coherence, Probability and Induction

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2307/1522865openalex-snapshot

Models for Belief Revision

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2307/2214080openalex-snapshot

Deliberational Dynamics and The Foundations of Bayesian Game Theory

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.33064/uaa/978-607-8972-86-9openalex-snapshot

Epistemología bayesiana

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.3390/e22010108openalex-snapshot

Generalizing Information to the Evolution of Rational Belief

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.4236/ojpp.2012.23030openalex-snapshot

Dutch-Book Arguments against using Conditional Probabilities for Conditional Bets

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.0803.0630openalex-snapshot

The Theory of Fallible Probability and The Dynamics of Degrees of Belief

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1412.4209openalex-snapshot

Quantum Measurement and the Paulian Idea

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2004.12493openalex-snapshot

Decision-theoretic foundations for statistical causality

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2008.04256openalex-snapshot

Purely Bayesian counterfactuals versus Newcomb's paradox

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2101.03593openalex-snapshot

The (Relevant) Logic of Scientific Discovery

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.5840/monist198770215openalex-snapshot

The Demons of Decision

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.7275/1670070openalex-snapshot

Bayesian Epistemology and Having Evidence

inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.7916/d8-50j7-yb60openalex-snapshot

Essays on Learning and Induction

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