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Direct Elicitation of Parametric Belief Distributions: An application to inflation expectations

https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4943520
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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/bs.hesbe.2018.11.002openalex-snapshot
Errors in probabilistic reasoning and judgment biases
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2021.04.036openalex-snapshot
How Economic Crises Affect Inflation Beliefs: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.11.008openalex-snapshot
Subjective intertemporal substitution
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/jdm.2023.21openalex-snapshot
Comparing input interfaces to elicit belief distributions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s1474747211000448openalex-snapshot
Financial literacy around the world: an overview
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1017/s1930297500004940openalex-snapshot
Lay understanding of probability distributions
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1037/0033-295x.101.4.547openalex-snapshot
Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/589562openalex-snapshot
Choosing Outcomes versus Choosing Products: Consumer-Focused Retirement Investment Advice
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/696061openalex-snapshot
Survey Measurement of Probabilistic Macroeconomic Expectations: Progress and Promise
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1086/718982openalex-snapshot
Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhab083openalex-snapshot
Managing Households’ Expectations with Unconventional Policies
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12113openalex-snapshot
INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AND BEHAVIOR: DO SURVEY RESPONDENTS ACT ON THEIR BELIEFS?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2004.00537.xopenalex-snapshot
Measuring Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-081512-141510openalex-snapshot
Measuring Inflation Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-091622-010157openalex-snapshot
How to Run Surveys: A Guide to Creating Your Own Identifying Variation and Revealing the Invisible
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00909openalex-snapshot
Are Consumers' Spending Decisions in Line with A Euler Equation?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01118openalex-snapshot
Household Inflation Expectations and Consumer Spending: Evidence from Panel Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1198/jbes.2009.0003openalex-snapshot
Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20210383openalex-snapshot
Tax Refund Uncertainty: Evidence and Welfare Implications
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20200387openalex-snapshot
Learning-through-Survey in Inflation Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20200445openalex-snapshot
How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20130292openalex-snapshot
Inflation Expectations and Readiness to Spend: Cross-Sectional Evidence
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1917448openalex-snapshot
Inflation Expectations and Behavior: Do Survey Respondents Act on Their Beliefs?
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4323706openalex-snapshot
Measuring inflation expectations: How the response scale shapes density forecasts
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4630646openalex-snapshot
Forceful or Persistent: Wow the ECB's New Inflation Target Affects Households' Inflation Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4771031openalex-snapshot
On Eliciting Subjective Probability Distributions of Expectations
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.29412/res.wp.2020.15openalex-snapshot
Household Inflation Expectations and Consumer Spending: Evidence from Panel Data
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w11978openalex-snapshot
Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w25200openalex-snapshot
Errors in Probabilistic Reasoning and Judgment Biases
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w25336openalex-snapshot
Expectations Uncertainty and Household Economic Behavior
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w26106openalex-snapshot
How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w30527openalex-snapshot
How to Run Surveys: A Guide to Creating Your Own Identifying Variation and Revealing the Invisible
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2404.09297openalex-snapshot
Belief Bias Identification
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