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Managing Self-Confidence: Theory and Experimental Evidence

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What this work says

Outgoing claims: the papers this work cites, builds on, or argues with.

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Effects of cooperation and competition on responsibility attribution after success and failure
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Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgment
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Errors in probabilistic reasoning and judgment biases
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Desirability and information processing: An experimental study
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2011.05.012openalex-snapshot
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Testing for Weak Instruments in Linear IV Regression
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Self-serving biases in attribution: A Bayesian analysis.
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The trouble with overconfidence.
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Hypothesis evaluation from a Bayesian perspective.
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On the psychology of prediction.
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The Binarized Scoring Rule
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Determinants of College Major Choice: Identification using an Information Experiment
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Momentum, Reversals, and Fund Manager Overconfidence
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A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes
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Psychological Expected Utility Theory and Anticipatory Feelings
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Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment
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A Memory-Based Model of Bounded Rationality
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Inference by Believers in the Law of Small Numbers
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003355302760193913openalex-snapshot
Self-Confidence and Personal Motivation
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/003355399555945openalex-snapshot
First Impressions Matter: A Model of Confirmatory Bias
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/jeea.2006.4.4.673openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.122.3.1067openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.2010.125.4.1399openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828042002697openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828043052204openalex-snapshot
Confidence-Enhanced Performance
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828054825493openalex-snapshot
Optimal Expectations
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2469openalex-snapshot
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inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3386/w27327openalex-snapshot
Belief Elicitation: Limiting Truth Telling with Information on Incentives
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta7833openalex-snapshot
A Mechanism for Eliciting Probabilities
inferredcites →https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta8583openalex-snapshot
Apparent Overconfidence

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The Gender Gap in Confidence: Expected but Not Accounted For
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20211658openalex-snapshot
Designing Information Provision Experiments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20241665openalex-snapshot
The Economics of Attention
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/mic.20200030openalex-snapshot
Everyday Econometricians: Selection Neglect and Overoptimism When Learning from Others
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/mic.20200285openalex-snapshot
Selling Dreams: Endogenous Optimism in Lending Markets
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/mic.20220146openalex-snapshot
The Fake News Effect: Experimentally Identifying Motivated Reasoning Using Trust in News
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/rct.3487openalex-snapshot
Can simple advice eliminate the gender gap in willingness to compete?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/rct.3487-1.0openalex-snapshot
Can simple advice eliminate the gender gap in willingness to compete?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1257/rct.6474-1.0openalex-snapshot
The diffusion of online misinformation in India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2025.0349openalex-snapshot
Do People Willfully Ignore Decision Support? Evidence from an Online Experiment
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2021.03551openalex-snapshot
Learning from Unknown Information Sources
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.02774openalex-snapshot
Aversion to Hiring Algorithms: Transparency, Gender Profiling, and Self-Confidence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2022.4434openalex-snapshot
Overriding in Teams: The Role of Beliefs, Social Image, and Gender
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.02482openalex-snapshot
Gender and Preferences for Performance Feedback
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.02537openalex-snapshot
Motivated Belief Updating and Rationalization of Information
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.02792openalex-snapshot
Improving Human Deception Detection Using Algorithmic Feedback
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.03367openalex-snapshot
Expectation Formation Under Uninformative Signals
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4791openalex-snapshot
Is Your Machine Better Than You? You May Never Know
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2023.4824openalex-snapshot
Non-Bayesian Statistical Discrimination
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.07224openalex-snapshot
Waiting for the Right Offer: Laboratory Evidence on How News Affects Bargaining
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2025.05353openalex-snapshot
Motivated Procrastination
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.13189/saj.2023.110510openalex-snapshot
Court Tennis Referee Decision Making: How does Mastery of Game Rules, Stress Management, and Concentration Affect it?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pbio.3003574openalex-snapshot
Biomedical and life science articles by female researchers spend longer under review
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-5265824/v1openalex-snapshot
Does the Handsome Man Trap Work? A Study on the Impact of Male Anchors’ Reverse Gender Traits on Female Consumers’ Purchasing Intention
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3414155openalex-snapshot
Best to Be Last: Serial Position Effects in Legal Decisions in the Field and in the Lab
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3583862openalex-snapshot
The Asymmetry in Responsible Investing Preferences and Beliefs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3638879openalex-snapshot
Designing Information Provision Experiments
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3676711openalex-snapshot
Cognitive Flexibility or Moral Commitment? Evidence of Anticipated Belief Distortion
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3692918openalex-snapshot
Cognitive Flexibility or Moral Commitment? Evidence of Anticipated Belief Distortion
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3717381openalex-snapshot
The Fake News Effect: Experimentally Identifying Motivated Reasoning Using Trust in News
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3874297openalex-snapshot
Motivated Beliefs, Independence and Cooperation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3905142openalex-snapshot
Motivated Beliefs about Stock Returns
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4044677openalex-snapshot
Tardy Learning, Cognitive Biases, and Decision-Making: Evidence from SMEs' Response to COVID-19 in China
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4054835openalex-snapshot
Waiting for the Right Offer: Laboratory Evidence on How News Affects Bargaining and the Market for Lemons
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4102734openalex-snapshot
Motivated Beliefs, Independence and Cooperation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4113891openalex-snapshot
Overconfidence in Tullock Contests
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4153191openalex-snapshot
Motivated Mislearning: The Case of Correlation Neglect
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4257220openalex-snapshot
Recent Advances in Studies of News Consumption
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4290726openalex-snapshot
Are Expectations Misled by Chance? Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Financial Analysts
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4310234openalex-snapshot
Information Frictions, Belief Updating and Internal Migration: Evidence from Ghana and Uganda
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4383390openalex-snapshot
Good News Is Not a Sufficient Condition for Motivated Reasoning
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4444728openalex-snapshot
ChatGPT and the Labor Market: Unraveling the Effect of AI Discussions on Students’ Earnings Expectations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4458610openalex-snapshot
The Self-Limiting Dynamics of Affirmative Action
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4489018openalex-snapshot
How Gains and Losses Shape Investors’ Expectations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4494688openalex-snapshot
The Supply of Motivated Beliefs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4497643openalex-snapshot
Choice-induced Misspecified Mental Models
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4501651openalex-snapshot
Belief Updating and Induced Emotions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4538216openalex-snapshot
Reputational Concerns and Advice-Seeking at Work
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4557313openalex-snapshot
Optimism Shifting
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4580390openalex-snapshot
Discretion Over Information: Evidence from pretrial decisions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4653121openalex-snapshot
It's a Sure Win! Experimental Evidence on Overconfidence In Betting Behavior
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4670473openalex-snapshot
Group Identity and Belief Formation: A Decomposition of Political Polarization
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4756065openalex-snapshot
Beliefs as a Means of Self-Control? Evidence from a Dynamic Student Survey
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4758197openalex-snapshot
Will Artificial Intelligence Get in the Way of Achieving Gender Equality?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4773415openalex-snapshot
Seeing Through Different Lenses: Partisanship and Updating of Inflation Expectations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4783704openalex-snapshot
Choosing and Using Information in Evaluation Decisions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4803859openalex-snapshot
Motivated Procrastination
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4827884openalex-snapshot
Selective Information Sharing and Group Delusion
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4854794openalex-snapshot
Overconfidence Due to a Self-Reliance Dilemma
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4873148openalex-snapshot
Decoding Gender Bias: The Role of Personal Interaction
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4882295openalex-snapshot
Socioemotional Development During Adolescence: Evidence from a Large Macro Shock
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4886488openalex-snapshot
Excusing Beliefs About Third-Party Success
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4886632openalex-snapshot
Motivated Reasoning in the Social Domain
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4895018openalex-snapshot
Gender and (inaccurate) beliefs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4916412openalex-snapshot
(Inaccurate) Beliefs about Skill Decay
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4920330openalex-snapshot
Mobility and Dynamics of Competition *
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4978459openalex-snapshot
Can Tournament Incentives Induce Subsequent Workaholism?
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4986692openalex-snapshot
Confidence and Relative Performance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4994224openalex-snapshot
Gender and Demand for Social Comparison Information
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4996223openalex-snapshot
Rounding the (Non)Bayesian Curve: Unraveling the Effects of Rounding Errors in Belief Updating
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5013237openalex-snapshot
The Dynamics of Chosen Beliefs
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5054927openalex-snapshot
Gender Differences in Educational Attainment After Failing Math: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5071120openalex-snapshot
Motivated Inference of Ambiguous Information
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5131999openalex-snapshot
Information Avoidance in Personalized Pricing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5158816openalex-snapshot
Women's Self-Efficacy and Economic Outcomes: Experimental Evidence from India
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5162354openalex-snapshot
Narratives as a Persuasion Tool in Performance Appraisals
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5191510openalex-snapshot
Do Sports Bettors Need Consumer Protection? Evidence from a Field Experiment Link to Latest Version
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5224282openalex-snapshot
Disentangling Probabilistic and Strategic Errors
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5227668openalex-snapshot
Can Information Alleviate Overconfidence? A Randomized Experiment on Financial Market Predictions
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5253468openalex-snapshot
Innovation and Information Free-Riding: An Experimental Investigation of Collective Experimentation
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5268027openalex-snapshot
Motivated Beliefs: The Role of Uncertainty about Information Accuracy
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5269016openalex-snapshot
Fear on the plank? Virtual but more real! *
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5273829openalex-snapshot
Identifying Belief-dependent Preferences
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5311906openalex-snapshot
Prior-Biased Inference in Asset Prices: The Conditional Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5368345openalex-snapshot
Gender Gap in Apologies
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5372584openalex-snapshot
Self-Advising: A Non-Monetary Performance Booster for Remote Workers
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5531098openalex-snapshot
Context Dependence in Managerial Expectations
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5547378openalex-snapshot
Welfare and the Act of Competing
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5636063openalex-snapshot
The Fundamental Attribution Error is not Fundamental
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5675322openalex-snapshot
Perceived AI Use and Hiring Penalties: Experimental Evidence
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5954930openalex-snapshot
The Gender Gap in Self-Promotion Styles
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6019456openalex-snapshot
The Polarization Threshold: Consensus Breakdown in Belief Dynamics with Cognitive Dissonance
inferred← citeshttps://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.6180838openalex-snapshot
A Brave New World of Recruitment: How Does the New Era of Job Interviews Impact Jobseekers and Employers?
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